Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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AXUS74 KBMX 191428 CCA
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ALC001-005>011-015>021-027-029-037-047-051-055-057-
063-065-073-075-081-085>093-101-105>127-231430-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
821 AM CDT THU JAN 19 2017

... DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ...

SYNOPSIS...THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES THAT DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. EXTREME DROUGHT
CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER AN AREA ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE
FROM NEAR LAFAYETTE TO COLUMBIANA TO CLINTON TO PICKENSVILLE TO
KENNEDY TO MANCHESTER. SEVERE DROUGHT COVERS REMAINING AREAS NORTH
OF A LINE FROM BLEECKER TO CLANTON TO COATOPA TO GEIGER. MOST
REMAINING AREAS IN CENTRAL ALABAMA ARE STILL INDICATED TO BE IN
MODERATE DROUGHT OR ABNORMALLY DRY.

THE DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIES DROUGHT WITHIN ONE OF THESE FIVE
CATEGORIES:

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY
D1...MODERATE DROUGHT
D2...SEVERE DROUGHT
D3...EXTREME DROUGHT
D4...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK WAS GENERALLY LIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA WITH THE MAJORITY OF LOCATIONS RECEIVING LESS THAN A TENTH
OF AN INCH...ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS IN THE NORTHERN SECTIONS RECEIVED A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OR MORE.  THIS PROVIDED NO RELIEF TO THE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND STREAM FLOWS HAVE CONTINUED DECLINING ACROSS THE
AREA.

SOME PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (INCHES) FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA
JANUARY 1ST THROUGH JANUARY 18TH...

BIRMINGHAM    2.56
MONTGOMERY    7.64
ANNISTON      3.83
TUSCALOOSA    3.41
CALERA        3.68
TROY         10.80

NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED (INCHES) AND DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
(INCHES) JANUARY 1ST THROUGH JANUARY 18TH...

BIRMINGHAM    2.69  -0.16
MONTGOMERY    2.49  +5.15
ANNISTON      2.43  +1.40
TUSCALOOSA    2.90  +0.51
CALERA        2.87  +0.81
TROY          2.52  +8.28

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE LAST UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA) REPORT
ISSUED NOVEMBER 28TH INDICATED THAT AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS HAD BEEN
SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY THE DROUGHT WITH SOME PONDS AND STREAMS
REPORTED TO BE DRYING UP. AT THAT TIME CATTLE PRODUCERS WERE
SUPPLEMENTING LIVESTOCK WITH HAY, FEED SUPPLEMENTS AND WATER HAULED
FROM ELSEWHERE. MANY FARMERS WERE UNABLE TO PLANT WINTER CROPS DUE
TO THE DROUGHT. RECENTLY...MANY SMALL STREAMS AND PONDS USED FOR
CATTLE HAVE SEEN LEVELS INCREASE DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL THAT HAS
OCCURRED.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

THE FIRE DANGER RISK IS LOWER ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THAN DURING THE
PEAK OF THE DROUGHT DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT
INDICES (KBDI) CURRENTLY RANGE FROM LESS THAN 100 TO AROUND 300
ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. VALUES ABOVE 500 INDICATE A SEVERE
FIRE DANGER.

WHILE THE STATEWIDE BURN BAN HAS BEEN RESCINDED...THERE REMAINS
CONCERN THAT MANY PINE TREES COULD STILL DIE DUE TO THE DROUGHT THAT
HAS PLAGUED THE STATE. THE STATE FORESTER CONTINUES TO URGE PEOPLE
THAT ARE DOING ANY OUTSIDE BURNING TO FOLLOW SAFETY PRECAUTIONS SUCH
AS NOT LEAVING ANY FIRE UNATTENDED AND HAVING THE PROPER EQUIPMENT
AND PERSONNEL TO CONTROL THE FIRE.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

THE LATEST USGS STREAM GAGE DATA INDICATES THAT STREAM FLOWS
CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW OR MUCH BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. PERIODIC RAINFALL WILL NEED TO OCCUR
FOR STREAM FLOWS TO RETURN TO NORMAL OR BETTER LEVELS.

MOST MAJOR RESERVOIR POOL LEVELS HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY DURING
THE PAST WEEK AND REMAIN NEAR THEIR NORMAL WINTER LEVELS. LISTED
BELOW ARE CURRENT LEVELS FOR SOME OF THE MAJOR RESERVOIRS ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THOSE FROM JANUARY 12TH:

RESERVOIR             LEVEL FOR 01/19/17     LEVEL FOR 01/12/17

WEISS                       559.0                   558.6
NEELY HENRY                 506.8                   506.7
LOGAN MARTIN                460.0                   459.9
LAY                         395.8                   396.0
MITCHELL                    311.7                   312.0
JORDAN                      251.6                   251.6
R.L.HARRIS                  785.1                   784.9
MARTIN                      483.0                   483.0
SMITH                       498.4                   498.2
BANKHEAD                    254.7                   255.0
HOLT                        186.7                   186.9

SOCIAL IMPACTS...

POOLS ARE NEAR THEIR NORMAL WINTER LEVELS AT MOST MAJOR RESERVOIRS
AND HAVE REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY DURING THE PAST WEEK. VOLUNTARY AND
MANDATORY WATER RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED BY SOME WATER
BOARDS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AND ARE STILL IN EFFECT IN SOME
AREAS...WHILE MANY OTHER AREAS HAVE IMPLEMENTED VOLUNTARY WATER
RESTRICTIONS. HOWEVER...A FEW WATER BOARDS HAVE LIFTED RESTRICTIONS
DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS.

PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

A WET FORECAST LOOMS AHEAD FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL
WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST FLOW OF AIR ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA FROM TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY ACROSS THE AREA.  CUMULATIVE
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE
BETWEEN TWO AND FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE.

THE TWO WEEK OUTLOOK...FROM JANUARY 24TH THROUGH FEBRUARY
1ST...CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TRANSITIONING TO BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH APRIL IS FOR ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH APRIL INDICATES THAT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA BUT SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED.

UPDATE STATEMENT...

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND THURSDAY JANUARY 26TH.


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