Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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AXUS72 KFFC 051711
DGTFFC
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-
079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-129-
133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-187-
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293-295-297-301-303-307-309-311-313-315-317-319-062300-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1210 PM EST THU JAN 5 2017

...LONG-TERM SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES...WITH IMPROVEMENT
FROM EXCEPTIONAL LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES AND ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL SYSTEMS BROUGHT AMPLE GULF MOISTURE TO THE REGION. A
PROLONGED STRATIFORM RAIN EVENT PROVIDED SEVERAL DAYS WITH
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER A THREE-DAY PERIOD. DURING THIS
EVENT...WIDESPREAD 2.0 TO 6.0 INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED OVER MOST
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 7.0 TO 8.0 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. THE FAR NORTH AND SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE RECEIVED THE LEAST AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
/GENERALLY 1 TO 2 INCHES/.

DUE TO RECENT RAIN AND CONTINUED MILD TEMPERATURES WITH LOWER
EVAPORATION RATES...THE SHALLOW SOIL MOISTURE REMAINED NEAR
NORMAL ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST TWO
WEEKS. HOWEVER...WHILE THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVED IN
SOME AREAS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...A LONG-TERM SEVERE TO EXTREME
DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. IT NORMALLY
TAKES AT LEAST THREE CONSECUTIVE MONTHS OF ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
TO CONSIDER ENDING A DROUGHT.

SOME SIGNIFICANT HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO WATER SUPPLY ARE STILL
OCCURRING AND STREAM FLOWS AND GROUND WATER TABLES ARE VERY LOW
IN MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

SEE HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FFC/RAINDEF FOR THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT
MONITOR IMAGE AND OTHER DROUGHT RELATED INFORMATION.

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CLIMATE IMPACTS

THE HIGHEST RAINFALL OCCURRED IN CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN PARTS
OF NORTH GEORGIA WHERE GENERALLY 600 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL
OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS FROM ABOUT 3 TO 7 INCHES. OTHERWISE
THE THE REST OF NORTH GEORGIA HAD 1.5 TO 3 INCHES TOTAL RAINFALL...WHICH
WAS 50 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL.

DUE TO THE LONG-TERM DROUGHT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO 2017
...THE TOTAL RAINFALL AND DEPARTURES WILL BE BASED ON 365 DAYS
UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

LOCATION   TOTAL RAINFALL    NORMAL    DEPARTURE     PERCENT
            LAST 365 DAYS    VALUE     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

ATLANTA         41.79        49.75       -7.96         84%
ATHENS          39.04        46.36       -7.32         84%
COLUMBUS        42.00        46.79       -4.79         90%
MACON           40.40        45.70       -5.30         88%
CARTERSVILLE    37.16        49.99      -12.83         74%
NE ATLANTA      36.89        53.06      -16.17         70%
WEST ATLANTA    34.89        51.25      -16.36         68%
GAINESVILLE     35.64        54.04      -18.40         66%
PEACHTREE CITY  37.04        50.05      -13.01         74%
ROME            34.58        51.99      -17.41         67%

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RESERVOIRS/STREAM LEVELS

CURRENT LAKE LEVELS AT USACE PROJECTS WERE MAINLY BELOW WINTER
POOL LEVELS FROM NEAR 5 FEET AT CARTERS TO NEAR 10 FEET AT
LANIER. THE EXCEPTIONS WERE NEAR 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT ALLATOONA
TO OVER 3 FEET AT WEST POINT.

THE POOL LEVELS ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OR SLOWLY
RISE FOR MOST LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT FOUR WEEKS. THE USACE WILL
TRY TO MAINTAIN WINTER POOL LEVELS TO PROVIDE FLOOD STORAGE THROUGH
THE SPRING.

LAKE        WINTER POOL   CURRENT LEVEL    DEPARTURE
                                           IN FEET
ALLATOONA       823          824.70         +1.70
CARTERS        1072         1067.01         -4.99
HARTWELL        656          649.47         -6.53
LANIER         1070         1060.58         -9.42
THURMOND        326          318.91         -7.09
WEST POINT      628          631.59         +3.59

AVERAGE STREAM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 7 DAYS WERE GENERALLY 25 TO 90
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW IN MOST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF
NORTH GEORGIA INCLUDING THE ATLANTA METRO DUE TO AREAS OF RECENT
RAINFALL. OTHER PARTS OF NORTH GEORGIA WERE 10 TO 20 PERCENT OF
NORMAL.

PLEASE NOTE THAT CREEKS AND SMALLER RIVERS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DUE
TO RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IF IT OCCURS.

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FIRE DANGER LEVELS

THE LATEST FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENT INDICATES A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DUE TO CHANGES
IN MOISTURE LEVELS AND RAINFALL RECEIVED.

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TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK

FOR JANUARY...THE OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST. NO SPECIFIC TREND.

90 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR JANUARY THROUGH MARCH...ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA...WITH EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE OR
BELOW NORMAL ACROSS MOST OF NORTH GEORGIA...AND ABOVE NORMAL CHANCES
IN FAR NORTH GEORGIA.

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THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE GEORGIA STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST IN ATLANTA...THE GEORGIA ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
DIVISION...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE
DANGER ASSESSMENTS WERE PROVIDED BY THE GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION.

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR THURSDAY
...JANUARY 19 2017.

$$

03/31



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