Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FGUS74 KLUB 052014
ESFLUB
060814-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
214 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

060814-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
214 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

...SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...

...Flood Risk is Near to Below Average...
The Spring Flood Potential for rivers originating in the South
Plains...Rolling Plains and Extreme Southern Panhandle is slightly
below normal this spring. The primary factor in development of
significant river flooding is the occurrence of excessive rainfall
in relatively short periods of time, even for areas where drought
conditions persist.

...Existing Conditions...

...Precipitation...Drought...
In the past 60 days, most of the river basins have received near to
or above average precipitation, much of it snowfall. However...the
southeast Panhandle and northern Rolling Plains including Childress
and Cottle Counties have seen much less precipitation than other
areas and they remain in extreme drought.  In other parts of the
area...drought conditions have eased considerably and little
significant drought conditions remain...especially short term
drought conditions.

...Reservoirs and River Base Flow...
Significant reservoirs including Lake Alan Henry...White River Lake
and Mackenzie Reservoir have a significant capacity to hold any flood
waters that would be generated.  White River lake is at 4 percent of
capacity.  Mackenzie is at 7 percent.  Lake Alan Henry is at 74
percent.  All three are at higher levels than last year at the same
time.   The base flow in rivers originating in our area, including
the Red River...Pease River...Wichita River...White River and Brazos
River, is generally below normal.

...Outlook...
The long range precipitation outlook for March-April-May issued by
the Climate Prediction Center calls for increased potential for above
normal rainfall this spring.

...Summary...
Despite the below normal potential for Spring River Flooding...our
flooding is often tied to slow moving upper lows and severe
thunderstorms...which can occur with little advance notice.  As such
river flooding is still quite possible.

You can find additional weather information and forecast on the
National Weather Service Lubbock web page at: www.srh.noaa.gov/LUB


$$




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.