Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 241025
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

...WARM TODAY WITH RAIN MOVING IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN
STARTING MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN TONIGHT.  SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY.  ANOTHER WARM AFTERNOON
EXPECTED TODAY THOUGH WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY VALUES SO FIRE DANGER
WILL BE REDUCED.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-242015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SPRINKLES AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1380).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 41 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.53-0.82 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.31-0.68 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 52-57 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 2000.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.71 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.57 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 26 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.60-0.79 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1500. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    0800 UNTIL 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1030).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.52 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    1400 UNTIL 1700...THEN RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 23 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.44-0.68 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800. CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1500. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    0800 UNTIL 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1540).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.28 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
625 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1830).
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SPRINKLES
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN RAIN. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.77 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.38 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$





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