Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 300835
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS; WINTRY MIX TODAY-TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY INTO THIS AFTERNOON
AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY.
THUS...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY GIVE WAY TO PRECIPITATION-FREE AND MORE
MILD CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND WITH THE NEXT THREAT FOR RAIN ARRIVING LATE IN
THE DAY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
                    AND FLURRIES UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN AND SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.22 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW, RAIN AND CHANCE
                    OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.46 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200 THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
                    AND FLURRIES UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN AND SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 31-36 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.57 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN, SNOW AND CHANCE
                    OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (380).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.62 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.40 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 2400 THEN RAIN
                    AND CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.38 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (650).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 TO 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-302030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.
                    CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.52 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.39 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 0800,
                    THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (550).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 TO 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
435 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    1200. SNOW...RAIN AND A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.72 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 2400 THEN
RAIN AND CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-0.56 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.17 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MG



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