Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 201527
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A large and persistent area of high pressure at the surface and
aloft will remain over the eastern part of the U.S. through the
upcoming weekend.

Low pressure is likely to track west of the state early
next week with a trailing cold front and potent upper level
disturbance pushing through Pennsylvania Tuesday or Tuesday
night. This weather feature will be preceded and accompanied
by periods of rain and perhaps a narrow band of gusty
thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Winds will be from the northwest in the 5 to 8 mph range
later this morning this afternoon, before becoming light again
tonight. Similar wind speeds from the south are expected during
the late morning and afternoon hours Saturday.

PAZ004>006-010-011-202145-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear       MClear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              68 (-1)      42 (-1)           73
RH % (24h trend)              28 (-4)     76 (-24)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6      LGT/VAR         S  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2570           40         2400
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  6        SE  2         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               25110            0        27040
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-202145-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              68 (-2)      44 (-2)           73
RH % (24h trend)              28 (-2)     79 (-21)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2830           30         2520
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  7         W  2         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               23460            0        25360
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-202145-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                    MClear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)               67 (0)      45 (-3)           72
RH % (24h trend)              33 (+3)     86 (-14)           39
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR         S  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2560            0         2560
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  6        NW  2         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               18620            0        28080
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ034-035-202145-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                    MClear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              71 (-2)      46 (-3)           74
RH % (24h trend)              29 (+2)     89 (-11)           34
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3340           10         2570
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  7        NW  3         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               26900            0        22320
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-202145-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              67 (-2)      42 (-3)           72
RH % (24h trend)              30 (-1)     82 (-18)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        NW  7 G17      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2870            0         2440
Transport Wnd (mph)              N 12         W  2         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               31580            0        29220
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        5            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-202145-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              70 (-2)      43 (-3)           75
RH % (24h trend)              29 (-3)     86 (-14)           32
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3140            0         2530
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 10        NW  2         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               36390            0        18810
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs around 60. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-202145-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              71 (-2)      45 (-5)           75
RH % (24h trend)              31 (-2)     86 (-14)           32
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3450            0         2490
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 10        NW  3         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               38470            0        17290
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        5            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-202145-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              70 (-3)      44 (-6)           74
RH % (24h trend)              28 (-1)     83 (-17)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3280            0         2640
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  8        NW  3         S  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               31760            0        25350
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ058-202145-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
1127 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sat

Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              68 (-2)      45 (-2)           74
RH % (24h trend)              32 (-4)     80 (-20)           30
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)          LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  8      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2930            0         2450
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 12        NW  3         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               33360            0        14360
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 0            0            0
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 70. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs around 60. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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