Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 191925
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A string of dry days and nights with well above normal
temperatures for the middle of February will continue into
Tuesday. For the middle and latter part of the upcoming week
a few frontal boundaries will cross the region and bring
periods of showers. The first chance for showers will come late
Tuesday and Tuesday night, with the second episode impacting
the region Thursday into Saturday.

PAZ004>006-010-011-200915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           70
Temp (24h trend)              27 (-8)      50 (-4)           28           53
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      37 (+4)           82           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                                                            2
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            540         2060          330         1380
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  8        NE  5        SE  9         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1250        12600          820        23550
Dispersion                          1            4            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 40. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Colder.
Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder.
Lows in the mid 20s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-200915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)             31 (-11)      52 (-6)           29           52
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      33 (+1)           85           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                     SE  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration                                                            1
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            530         2450          510         1770
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  9         N  6        SE  9         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1470        18550         2030        25160
Dispersion                          1            5            2            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 40.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers
likely. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-200915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)             34 (-10)      57 (+1)           33           56
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      39 (+8)           92           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                     SE  7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  7 G19      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                                            1
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            230         2470          290         2950
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 12         N  6        SE  8        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 360        19020          300        56270
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely.
Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-200915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                    MClear       MClear        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)             34 (-13)      56 (-5)           30           50
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     36 (+11)           89           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  6 G17      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                                            1
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            430         3120          530         2360
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 10         N  8         E  7         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 280        34530           60        41010
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-200915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       MClear        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              29 (-9)     46 (-11)           26           46
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)      34 (+1)           81           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  7                      S  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)        NW  8 G17         N  6      LGT/VAR         S  9
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                                                            1
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            650         2110          280         1640
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 16         N 10        SE  5         S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 300        24000           80        31200
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-200915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                    MClear       MClear       MClear        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              32 (-9)      51 (-9)           28           47
RH % (24h trend)              92 (-8)      34 (+6)           85           43
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                                            1
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            810         2570          430         2370
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 15         N 12        SE  6         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        32930          230        43060
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            4            4            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the upper 30s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-200915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
225 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                              TonightWashingtons Birthday    Mon Night          Tue

Cloud Cover                    MClear       MClear       MClear        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           20
Temp (24h trend)             34 (-13)      55 (-9)           29           49
RH % (24h trend)              89 (+6)     37 (+12)           88           44
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            NW  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                                            0
Precip Begin                                                            3 PM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         2730           90         2550
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  9         N 13        NE  6         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        35630            0        41500
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        5            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 40. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
50. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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