Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 211940
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures through the weekend. A
gradual increase in moisture will lead to showers by Sunday evening, as a
cold front moves through. Min RH in the 40s today and 50s on Sunday.
Southerly winds will also increase each day, with gusts topping out
at or above 25 mph on Sunday. Chilly and damp conditions take over
for midweek.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221000-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........35-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2170-2670 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3280-3780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1060).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around
                    10 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......640-840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221000-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1540-2040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (470).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2710-3210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (950).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 10 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 2 am then chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around
                    10 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221000-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
340 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2830-3330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......140-340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4190-4690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1100).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 10 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 8 pm until 2 am then chance
                    of showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.

$$

IRL



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