Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 231958
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
358 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will remain near average through the
midweek period, as moisture gradually increases. There will be a
chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, especially north
of M-59. A chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue into
Wednesday. A period of widespread rain will then overspread the
region Wednesday evening through Thursday morning.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
358 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 10 pm then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Showers likely until
                    midnight then chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming northeast
                    10 to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until 11 am then chance of showers
                    until 2 pm then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5040-5540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (960).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely. Chance
                    of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........94 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......640-840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (40).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely until
                    2 pm then chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1180-1680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (490).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
358 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until midnight then
                    chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming northeast
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of until 11 am. Chance of showers after 11 am. A
                    slight chance of thunderstorms after noon.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5670-6170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (830).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 pm. A slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    showers likely after 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......340-540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph becoming east
                    around 25 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1620-2120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 25 to 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (460).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
358 PM EDT Tue May 23 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of showers
                    until midnight. A slight chance of after 1 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until noon then showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4670-5170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (980).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1260-1460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely until
                    8 am. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 8 am. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3440-3940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (470).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

BT


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