Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 301941
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...SOAKING RAINS STARING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUIET TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WE WILL SEE MORE SUNSHINE WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID AND UPPER 60S. HOWEVER WE WILL BE
ENTERING A WET PERIOD STARTING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
AND LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY. A SOAKING RAIN APPEARS LIKELY WITH
SOME AREAS SEEING UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL.

AFTER A WARMER DAY ON THURSDAY...WITH HIGHS FROM 70 TO 75...WE WILL
COOL DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 50S.  WE SHOULD SEE
TEMPERATURES WARM BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS REACHING AROUND 60.


MIZ037>039-043>045-010815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1900-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...1500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    4200-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-010815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-010815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.28 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-010815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-010815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
341 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.15 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
50. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.



$$







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