Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221914
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...Hot and dry weather to continue...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather will continue through
the weekend into early next week.  The next chance for rain
will not come until late Tuesday into Wednesday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 900-1400 ft
                    AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....79-84 near Lake Michigan and 87-92 inland.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 2 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6500-7000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL decreasing to 4500-5000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3700-4200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5700-6200 ft AGL increasing to
                    8000-8500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL increasing to 12600-13100 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL increasing to 8000-8500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL increasing to 9000-9500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7300-7800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 2
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5700-6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5900-6400 ft AGL increasing to
                    8100-8600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7500-8000 ft AGL increasing to 10000-10500 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL increasing to 9300-9800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
314 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
Max temperature.....90-95.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL increasing to 8700-9200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......8900-9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to
6 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$



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