Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 240730
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

...Wet Weather this weekend...

.DISCUSSION...

Periods of rain will continue through early next week as a front
slowly meanders across Lower Michigan.

MIZ037>039-043>045-242015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........76-81 percent near Lake Michigan AND 67-72
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......43 percent wetter near Lake Michigan AND 44
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.48 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.41 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-242015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.46 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.35 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-242015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 4400-4900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain until
                    2300, then rain.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.29 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 2000-2500
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.48 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-242015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL increasing to 4100-4600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain until
                    2200, then rain.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.31 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.46 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-242015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
330 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 2100 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain until
                    0100, then rain likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.47 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 5 to
9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 6 to
11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.



$$


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