Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 280804
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY CONTAIN
HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING BEHIND THE
FRONT. MEMORIAL DAY AND TUESDAY WE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
UPPER LOW WHICH WILL BRING A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER AND CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF BOTH DAYS.

MIZ037>039-043>045-282015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1100, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-73 percent near Lake Michigan and 59-64
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 20
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.37 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67 near Lake Michigan and around 70 inland.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 44-49
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8200-8700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to west
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2900-3300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-282015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100 until 1400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.36 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2200, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8500-9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2900 (excellent) increasing to 3400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-282015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100 until 1400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6400-6900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.27 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8200-8700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2500-2600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-282015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100 until 1400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.37 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL increasing to 8700-9200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west
                    around 35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2100 (excellent) increasing to 3300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-282015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
404 AM EDT Sun May 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100 until 1400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.35 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9600-10100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2400 (excellent) increasing to 3200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. West winds 14 to 19 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 9 to
14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.



$$



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