Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 040915
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAINFALL THIS EVENING INTO
MONDAY. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
FOR MID-WEEK. AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CROSS LATE THURSDAY USHERING IN
VERY COLD AIR FOR FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE.
TYPE 1-D...DIRECTION ENE...MAX WIND 20 MPH AT 1200 FT.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-050115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          53           45           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        NE  7        NW  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        SE  6        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.62         0.32
PRECIP DURATION       1            11           8
INVERSION             50/1100      1800         57/1300
MAX/MIN RH (%)        55           100          71
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1960                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     N 12
VENTILATION RATE      23520                     28800
ADI EARLY             20 GEN POOR  14 GEN POOR  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              24 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  29 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            5
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-050115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           44           58
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        E  5         N  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  6        NE  5        N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.64         0.17
PRECIP DURATION       4            12           6
INVERSION             48/1200      1800         50/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        58           100          76
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1710                      2220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     N  8
VENTILATION RATE      20520                     17760
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  8 POOR       12 POOR
ADI LATE              20 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-050115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           100          90
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          56           46           61
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  6        E  7         NW  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  8        S  6         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.65         0.33
PRECIP DURATION       2            11           8
INVERSION             52/1100      1800         55/1200
MAX/MIN RH (%)        57           100          76
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          4            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1930                      2270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 14                     NE  9
VENTILATION RATE      27020                     20430
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      7 POOR       17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-050115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, HARTSVILLE,
DARLINGTON, AND NORTH HARTSVILLE
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           100          70
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           43           56
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  4        E  6         N  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  7        N  5         NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.66         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       4            12           6
INVERSION             47/1100      1800         49/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        66           98           79
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1800                      2090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE  6
VENTILATION RATE      25200                     12540
ADI EARLY             19 GEN POOR  10 POOR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. MAXIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-050115-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DILLON, FLORENCE, MARION, MULLINS,
AND KINGSTREE
415 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           100          80
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          52           44           58
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    NE  5        E  6         N  6
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     NE  8        N  5         N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.75         0.22
PRECIP DURATION       3            12           8
INVERSION             50/1100      1800         50/1100
MAX/MIN RH (%)        54           100          77
DSI                   1                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1670                      2110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 14                      NE  8
VENTILATION RATE      23380                     16880
ADI EARLY             23 FAIR      12 POOR      13 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              23 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            7
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 85 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
98 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY, COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

17



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