Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 171937
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
337 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue across the area through
Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase during
the weekend ahead of a cold front. This front will get hung up
in close proximity early next week and then dissipate, keeping
at least scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-181145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
337 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          75           91           77           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  4        SW  8        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  7        SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.12         0.08         0.08         0.14
Precip duration       1            2            1            4
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          65           98           59
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5150                      5970
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   77250                     77610
ADI early             23 Fair      19 Gen poor  34 Fair      24 Fair
ADI late              3 Very poor  53 Gen good  6 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            7
Max LVORI late        9            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
337 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          75           92           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  4        S  6         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  7        SW  4        SW  4
Precip amount         0.11         0.07         0.08         0.14
Precip duration       1            2            2            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          56           100          51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6520                      7040
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     SW  7
Ventilation rate                   104320                    49280
ADI early             24 Fair      32 Fair      41 Gen good  10 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  64 Good      4 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            9
Max LVORI late        9            2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-181145-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
337 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           40           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          76           92           76           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  4        S  8         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  7        SW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         0.10         0.11         0.06         0.13
Precip duration       1            2            1            4
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           60           97           58
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6310                      6580
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 12
Ventilation rate                   63100                     78960
ADI early             20 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  24 Fair      25 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  44 Gen good  5 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
337 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          75           94           76           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SW  4        S  6         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  7        SW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         0.08         0.06         0.08         0.13
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Inversion             2000         80/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           53           97           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6870                      7540
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W  9
Ventilation rate                   96180                     67860
ADI early             22 Fair      38 Fair      37 Fair      10 poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  54 Gen good  4 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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