Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 300923
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
523 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...Another warm, but rain free day is expected today.
South winds will pick up today and could gust up to 30 mph at
times, especially on ridges. A cold front will push east across
the area late tonight into early Monday morning. Ridges,
especially above 2000 feet, may stay pretty windy ahead of the
front tonight. As the front moves through, expect a period of
rainfall late tonight and Monday morning. Rain will quickly depart
by late Monday morning, but gusty southwest to west winds will
continue through the day. Some wind gusts on Monday could top 40
mph. Rain free weather will then be seen through Tuesday night.
The next chance of rain would come Wednesday.

KYZ068-079-083-084-302045-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
523 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....177.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (177200 knot-ft).
ADI.................91 increasing to 109 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................69 decreasing to 50 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.53 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming sunny. Rain showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing
                    to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 40
                    mph.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (238000 knot-ft).
ADI.................68 increasing to 137 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.24 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-302045-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
523 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....190.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (193400 knot-ft).
ADI.................106 increasing to 121 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................88 decreasing to 37 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.29 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming sunny. Rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 25 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (246500 knot-ft).
ADI.................53 increasing to 136 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.32 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-302045-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
523 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....159.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (158900 knot-ft).
ADI.................112.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................74 decreasing to 42 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.31 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming sunny. Rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the morning.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Dispersion Index....192.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (210200 knot-ft).
ADI.................62 increasing to 127 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.18 - 0.40 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely late. Lows
around 50. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 60.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

$$
KAS



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