Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 180949
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
549 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Lower Humidity This Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered across the eastern Conus will
lead to warm and dry weather through Saturday along with
gradually moderating temperatures. Dry air aloft is expected to
mix down today and lead to low afternoon humidities especially
across the Southeast Region of the KDF. Humidity should bottom out
near or below 30 percent in several locations through Saturday.
The next chance for rain will arrive early next week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-182030-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
549 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Patchy dense fog early, otherwise sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....14.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13800 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 increasing to 16 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy fog late at night.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................12 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Patchy fog early, otherwise sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....17.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17300 knot-ft).
ADI.................8 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-182030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
549 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Patchy dense fog early, otherwise sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....19.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18900 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of fog late at night.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................15 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Areas of fog early, otherwise, sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest 10
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....31.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (31300 knot-ft).
ADI.................42.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-182030-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
549 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Patchy dense fog early, otherwise sunny.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 0 to 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....15.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15200 knot-ft).
ADI.................6 increasing to 20 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................13 decreasing to 2 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Areas of fog early, otherwise sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........25-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....17.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17000 knot-ft).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening,
then a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
JP



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