Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 072106
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
406 PM EST WED DEC 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY...AS AN ARCTIC AIR MASS INVADES EASTERN KENTUCKY AND
LINGERS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL NOT CLIMB ABOVE
THE MID TO UPPER 30S IN MOST LOCATIONS ON THURSDAY AND ONLY REACH
AROUND ON FRIDAY. THE COLDEST NIGHT LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS IN ALL LOCATIONS. BESIDES A FEW
FLURRIES...THE NEXT CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL
ARRIVE ON SUNDAY.

KYZ068-079-083-084-080930-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
406 PM EST WED DEC 7 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. FLURRIES
                    POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (60500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................59.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-080930-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
406 PM EST WED DEC 7 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. FLURRIES
                    POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (69600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................57 INCREASING TO 70 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................14.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (40600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................36.
LVORI...............2.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-080930-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
406 PM EST WED DEC 7 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (70300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................56 INCREASING TO 68 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. FLURRIES POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....37.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (36800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................35.
LVORI...............3.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN
THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
AND SNOW LIKELY LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH LATE.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP



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