Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 220959
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
559 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...Another warm day is expected, as temperatures climb
back into the upper 80s this afternoon under southwest flow. An
approaching cold front will bring likely showers and thunderstorms
to eastern Kentucky during the afternoon evening. Some of these
storms could be severe, with damaging wind gusts the main threat.
Heavy rain and frequent lightning will also be possible. Showers
and thunderstorms will lingering into the overnight but should
lose strength. Once the cold front departs south of the region
Wednesday, much cooler and less humid conditions will be on tap
for the rest of the week.

KYZ068-079-083-084-222015-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
559 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........52-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 15 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest 10
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....77.
Vent Rate...........Good (76700 knot-ft).
ADI.................74.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.12 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................54 decreasing to 10 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.38 - 0.59 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then isolated showers in the early
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26300 knot-ft).
ADI.................25.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-222015-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
559 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....101.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (101100 knot-ft).
ADI.................71.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.32 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................58 decreasing to 8 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.31 - 0.61 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny. Isolated
                    showers in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....37.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (36700 knot-ft).
ADI.................41.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.04 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-222015-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
559 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming mostly cloudy. Isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........50-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....89.
Vent Rate...........Good (88600 knot-ft).
ADI.................64 increasing to 74 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 - 0.14 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening...then scattered showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................55 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.31 - 0.61 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Scattered
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then isolated showers in the early
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....29.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (29100 knot-ft).
ADI.................29.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of thunderstorms and a slight chance of
showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds
becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$
JMW


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