Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
682 FNUS53 KMQT 040933 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 ...Approaching low pressure system brings rain... .DISCUSSION: A weak low pressure system moving northeast from the Central Plains toward the UP this morning will increase cloud cover and gradually increase chances for showers over the west. As a cold front progresses eastward through tonight, a line of showers moves with it. While southeast winds look to gust to 20 mph ahead of the cold front, minimum RHs look to mainly remain above 40% keeping fire weather concerns low. RHs look to make a full recovery overnight with northwest gusts in the wake of the cold front up to 20 mph. High pressure builds in over the Great Lakes for Sunday and Monday resulting in some warmer temps and drier RHs; winds do not appear to be a fire weather concern at this time for the start of next week. Some lake breezes are likely in the afternoon on Sunday. Chances for showers return on Tuesday accompanied by some breezy winds. MIZ001-003-050945- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....56-61 inland to around 54 at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph through early afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. Hours of Sun........1. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of showers 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 38. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. LAL.................1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....53-58. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........11. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ002-009-084-050945- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 /433 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers through early afternoon. Rain showers likely by early afternoon, then a chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 70 percent. Max temperature.....61-66 inland to around 55 at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........43-48 percent inland to 56 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 4 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.10-0.30 inch. Hours of Sun........2. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Chance of showers 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 38. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........96-100 percent inland to 88 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. LAL.................1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 60. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ004-005-050945- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers likely late. Chance of showers 60 percent. Max temperature.....Around 66 inland to around 58 at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.28 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of showers 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 39. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........94-99 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.19 inch. LAL.................1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....58-63 inland to around 55 at the shore. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ010-011-050945- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 433 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Rain showers likely late. Chance of showers 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 67. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph through early afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.12-0.30 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of showers 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 39. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. LAL.................1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....61-66. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ012-050945- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 433 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 68 inland to around 61 at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........45-50 percent inland to 54 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through early afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.15 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening, then a slight chance of rain showers by midnight. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........94-99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........Around 0.11 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 65. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ006-007-085-050945- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 70 inland to around 64 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. Rain showers likely through midnight, then a slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 41. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........93-98 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 13 mph late. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.13-0.34 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1 until 0200, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 58 inland to around 51 at the shore. Min humidity........41-46 percent inland to 53 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ013-050945- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 68 inland to around 60 at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening, then a chance of rain showers by midnight. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 42. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........94-99 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.09-0.26 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....61-66. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ014-095-050945- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 40 percent. Max temperature.....Around 69 inland to around 60 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.21-0.34 inch. LAL.................2 until 0500, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ096-097-050945- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....64-69 inland to around 59 at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 45. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest late. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.26 inch. LAL.................1 until 2100, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 9 to 14 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ088-050945- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........51-56 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 45. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph shifting to the west late. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ086-087-050945- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 533 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....67-72 inland to around 63 at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph shifting to the west with gusts to around 20 mph late. PCPN amount.........0.12-0.33 inch. LAL.................2 until 0500, then 1. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 60 inland to around 52 at the shore. Min humidity........41-46 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 9 to 14 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 37. Highs 65 to 71 inland to around 58 at the shore. Southeast winds 4 to 9 mph. .TUESDAY...Rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Lows 39 to 48. Highs 61 to 66 inland to around 58 at the shore. Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows around 44. Highs 62 to 68 inland to around 54 to 60 near the lakeshores. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows around 43. Highs 51 to 64, cooler near Lake Superior. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 37 to 45. Highs 50 to 60, cooler near Lake Superior. .Outlook for Sat May 11 through Fri May 17...expect below normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4600 / S 20 / 920 (E) 200301 / KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 7200 / S 19 / 1368 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW / 7300 / S 21 / 1533 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 2800 / S 21 / 588 (G) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4100 / S 23 / 943 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 4100 / S 21 / 861 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 5 MODERATE / 4900 / S 21 / 1029 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4600 / S 21 / 966 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 7200 / S 14 / 1008 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 4000 / S 25 / 1000 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 6000 / S 19 / 1140 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3700 / S 21 / 777 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 3400 / SE 25 / 850 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4400 / S 21 / 924 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / S 23 / 1104 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 2 VERY LOW / 3600 / S 21 / 756 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 4900 / S 11 / 539 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW / 6400 / S 21 / 1344 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 1900 / SE 25 / 475 (G) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2400 / SE 5 / 120 (P) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sun... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW / 5900 / NW 8 / 472 (G) 200301 / KENTON/ 4 LOW / 4900 / W 11 / 539 (G) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 5300 / W 11 / 583 (G) 201004 / MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW / 1100 / NW 13 / 143 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4600 / NW 12 / 552 (G) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4800 / NW 11 / 528 (G) 200703 / GWINN/ 4 LOW / 6000 / NW 8 / 480 (G) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 6200 / NW 8 / 496 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5300 / W 12 / 636 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 4000 / NW 17 / 680 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 6100 / W 9 / 549 (G) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 4800 / NW 14 / 672 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 4300 / NW 17 / 731 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 3 VERY LOW / 4500 / NW 14 / 630 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 4000 / NW 16 / 640 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 6000 / NW 8 / 480 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 5000 / W 11 / 550 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5600 / W 10 / 560 (G) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 2400 / NW 20 / 480 (G) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 3500 / W 16 / 560 (G) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 67/ 50/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 63/ 44/ 4/ 7/ S/0.01 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 65/ 40/ 5/ 9/ S/0.01 201004 / MUNISING/ 62/ 45/ 6/ 11/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 67/ 41/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 67/ 41/ 7/ 11/ SE/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 65/ 41/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 66/ 45/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 63/ 48/ 4/ 7/ E/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 68/ 43/ 8/ 14/ SE/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 66/ 43/ 6/ 12/ S/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 67/ 45/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 66/ 50/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 68/ 42/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 69/ 39/ 8/ 13/ SE/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 65/ 47/ 6/ 9/ SE/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 54/ 68/ 5/ 8/ N/0.02 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 62/ 44/ 4/ 8/ S/0.01 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 61/ 58/ 5/ 8/ SE/0.00 / KEW/ 57/ 56/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00 $$ Jablonski