Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 300711
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL GRADUALLY GIVE WAY
TO AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT.  THE
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF ON FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM SHIFTS TO OUR
EAST...LEADING TO A WARM AND DRY WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (-1)   50-55 (0)    60-65
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-10)  95-100 (+9)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G23                 SW 12 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G31     S 13 G32     W 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            90           80
Precip duration                    3            3
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.70         0.19
LAL                   1            5            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      8400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 26                      SW 25
Dispersion            91 Good                   141 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 10 G23                 SW 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G31     S 17 G32     W 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Warmer. Highs
in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (-7)   49-54 (+1)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-7)   95-100 (+2)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G21                 SW 11 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G35    SE 18 G49    W 12 G30
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           90           80
Precip duration       1            2            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.12         0.94         0.22
LAL                   3            5            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      8400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 25                      SW 25
Dispersion            62 Good                   125 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 11 G21                 SW 14 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 15 G35    SE 23 G49    W 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph decreasing to less than 10 mph early in the
afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-310815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-5)   49-54 (0)    59-64
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-6)   95-100 (+6)  49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G31                  SW 13 G41
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G45     S 23 G59     W 12 G29
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     30           80           60
Precip duration       1            4            2
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.88         0.07
LAL                   3            5            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      8400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 32                      W 28
Dispersion            92 Good                   126 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G31                  SW 17 G41
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G45     S 29 G59     W 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-310815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-3)   52-57 (+1)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-12)  94-99 (+6)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G27                  SW 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G34     S 16 G38     W 11 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     40           80           40
Precip duration       1            4            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.86         0.03
LAL                   3            5            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6700                      8200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 31                      W 24
Dispersion            123 Very good             129 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G27                  SW 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G34     S 20 G38     W 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-310815-
Nantahala National Forest-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   51-56 (+4)   63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   95-100 (+3)  49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G20                  SW 10 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G27     S 15 G35     W 11 G25
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.98         0.04
LAL                   4            5            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      8500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 24
DISPERSION            100 Good                  131 Very good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G20                  SW 12 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G27     S 19 G35     W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. North winds less than
10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310815-
East Tennessee District East-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-3)   52-57 (+2)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-7)   95-100 (+4)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G19                 SW 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G28     SE 11 G32    W 12 G31
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            80           70
Precip duration                    2            2
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.72         0.13
LAL                   1            5            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      8100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      SW 26
Dispersion            81 Good                   154 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G19                 SW 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G28     SE 15 G32    W 16 G31

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310815-
East Tennessee District West-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-3)   51-56 (-2)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-10)  95-100 (+11) 50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G28                  W 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G31     S 10 G27     W 10 G26
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     10           90           50
Precip duration       1            4            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.70         0.06
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      7800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 29                      W 25
Dispersion            121 Very good             142 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G28                  W 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G31     S 12 G27     W 13 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-310815-
Cumberland District South-
311 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017 /211 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (-4)   50-55 (-5)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-11)  95-100 (+11) 47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G29                  W 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G32     S 12 G29     W 10 G23
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     30           80           30
Precip duration       1            5            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Precip amount         0.10         0.65         0.01
LAL                   3            5            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 30                      W 22
Dispersion            130 Very good             114 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G29                  W 13 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G32     S 15 G29     W 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$


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