Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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924
FNUS54 KMRX 061941
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR RETURNS TO
THE AREA BY THE MONDAY...PROMOTING MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS AS WELL AS
A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW HEADING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK
WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   46-51 (+5)   28-33        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+13)  33-38 (+2)   91-96        63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.17
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      W 14
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
11 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 28. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+4)   41-46 (+4)   26-31        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  36-41 (+6)   88-93        62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      W 16
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 W  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    W  5         W  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 16 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 16 TO
29. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-072045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+3)   42-47 (+5)   26-31        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+13)  33-38 (+4)   95-100       61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           80
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      W 18
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      W  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        W  6         W  9 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 7 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 4 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-072045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+2)   47-52 (+6)   29-34        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   30-35 (+3)   91-96        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           70
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      W 17
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO 25.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 8 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-072045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   48-53 (+7)   26-31        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+9)   29-34 (+3)   95-100       63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      W 16
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   28 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 14 TO 23. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   47-52 (+5)   29-34        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   32-37 (+2)   89-94        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           70
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      W 15
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   38 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 28. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   49-54 (+5)   30-35        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+9)   27-32 (0)    87-92        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           60
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     W 15
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 27.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
241 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2016 /141 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   50-55 (+6)   31-36        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   27-32 (-2)   89-94        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 17
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 28.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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