Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 280852
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO MONDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   36-41 (-5)   46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+17)  95-100 (+13) 67-72
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.39         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  3
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   38-43 (-2)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+28)  95-100 (+17) 60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.40         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W  3
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-291000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   37-42 (-5)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+27)  95-100 (+12) 60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.42         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W  5
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G23                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-291000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   41-46 (-2)   50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+27)  95-100 (+4)  58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.39         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N  5
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-291000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   41-46 (-1)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+31)  95-100 (+2)  58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.31         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W  3
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   7 POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   38-43 (-2)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+23)  95-100 (+7)  62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.45         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  3
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   36-41 (-6)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+22)  95-100 (+6)  60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.37         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      N  6
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   37-42 (-7)   49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+19)  95-100 (+2)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.42         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N  7
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TG/TD



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