Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 222006
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front moving across the Southern Appalachian Region will
bring in scattered light showers this evening and overnight and
create breezy to windy conditions across the mountains and adjacent
foothills. Behind the front, expect near seasonal temperatures with
a few showers lingering across northern areas and over higher
elevations on Tuesday and Wendesday.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232115-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (0)    41-46 (-21)  25-30        37-42
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  54-59 (+9)   84-89        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 14 G30                 W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G38     W 13 G30     W 11 G27     W 11 G25
Precip type           showers      rain         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           20           30           20
Precip duration       4            1            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.28         0.02         0.02         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     W 14
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G30                 W 11 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G38     W 16 G30     W 14 G27     W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Highs in the mid 40s to upper
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232115-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+2)   42-47 (-16)  24-29        35-40
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  46-51 (-6)   75-80        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G33                  NW 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G42     W 15 G34     W 15 G35     W 13 G30
Precip type           showers      rain         showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           20           30           20
Precip duration       4            1            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.37         0.02         0.03         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      W 18
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 17 G33                  NW 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 21 G42     W 19 G34     W 19 G35     W 16 G30

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 40s to
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-232115-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-1)   39-44 (-18)  23-28        37-42
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  50-55 (-6)   80-85        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 15 G35                  NW  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 22 G59     W 14 G32     W 10 G29     W 11 G29
Precip type           tstms        snow/rain    showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           20           20           20
Precip duration       6            1            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.48         0.01         0.02         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      1200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      W 14
Dispersion                         30 Fair                   12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 19 G35                  NW  8 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 27 G59     W 17 G32     W 13 G29     W 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-232115-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+2)   42-47 (-17)  25-30        43-48
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  51-56 (-7)   84-89        34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G27                  NW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G45     W 11 G24     NW  8 G21    NW 10 G22
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip duration       4
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.32         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      NW 12
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 15 G27                  NW  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G45     W 14 G24     NW 10 G21    NW 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-232115-
Nantahala National Forest-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   43-48 (-15)  24-29        45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (-4)   90-95        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G27                  NW  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G36     W 12 G26     NW  7 G22    W 11 G26
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2300                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12
DISPERSION                         34 Fair                   19 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          3                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G27                  NW  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G36     W 15 G26     NW  9 G22    W 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232115-
East Tennessee District East-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+3)   43-48 (-19)  26-31        40-45
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  49-54 (-2)   76-81        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G33                  W  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G32     W 14 G33     W 12 G28     W 12 G27
Precip type           showers      rain         showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           20           0
Precip duration       3            1            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Precip amount         0.27         0.01         0.01         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2600                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 24                      W 14
Dispersion                         54 Gen good               25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 18 G33                  W 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G32     W 18 G33     W 16 G28     W 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232115-
East Tennessee District West-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-1)   42-47 (-18)  27-32        41-46
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  52-57 (-5)   76-81        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G28                 W  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G33     W 11 G27     W  9 G23     W  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        rain         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           10           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.18         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2800                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 21                      W 12
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 16 G28                 W  8 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G33     W 14 G27     W 11 G23     W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or slight chance of
snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to
mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-232115-
Cumberland District South-
306 PM EST Mon Jan 22 2018 /206 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-3)   44-49 (-15)  27-32        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  51-56 (-12)  77-82        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G25                  NW  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G33     W 11 G24     NW  9 G25    NW 11 G27
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            4 AM
Precip amount         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 20                      NW 13
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G25                  NW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G33     W 14 G24     NW 11 G25    NW 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s to lower
30s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 30. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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