Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 200755
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A WARM AND SUNNY
DAY TODAY. THE UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL MOVE IN
LATE TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+8)   44-49 (+8)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      25-30 (-20)  80-85 (-13)  47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)   E  2                      S 17
Dispersion            5 Very poor               47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows around
30. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+10)  42-47 (+6)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (-20)  78-83 (-13)  49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    4 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  1                     S 16
Dispersion            3 Very poor               34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting
to the south after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows around
30. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-210900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+8)   43-48 (+5)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      34-39 (-14)  79-84 (+1)   50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  1                     S 18
Dispersion            1 Very poor               31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph shifting
to the south after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-210900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+7)   46-51 (+11)  62-67
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-13)  77-82 (-12)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   S  2                      S 20
Dispersion            5 Very poor               47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 40s
to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-210900-
Nantahala National Forest-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

CLOUD COVER           MClear       MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+7)   44-49 (+12)  61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-15)  83-88 (-7)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      S 17
DISPERSION            6 Very poor               44 Gen good
MAX LVORI             7                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210900-
East Tennessee District East-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+8)   44-49 (+8)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (-17)  82-87 (-13)  48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    4 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)   E  3                      S 15
Dispersion            6 Very poor               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
near 50. Southwest winds less than 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210900-
East Tennessee District West-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+7)   46-51 (+9)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      34-39 (-11)  83-88 (-11)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   E  5                      S 20
Dispersion            7 Poor                    55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. South winds less than 10 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Light winds becoming south less than
10 mph after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s to lower 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210900-
Cumberland District South-
255 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017 /155 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+6)   49-54 (+10)  65-70
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-11)  79-84 (-14)  52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  3                     S 20
Dispersion            6 Very poor               59 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows near 50. South winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs near
70. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 50s to lower 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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