Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

ECC029-241700-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


...Discussion from Monterey...

Winds are anticipated to decrease later this  afternoon and evening
for the North Bay and East Bay hills.  Otherwise, generally light
offshore wind will continue for all  other zones through tomorrow.
Another hot and dry day tomorrow,  with single digit humidity values
possible for parts of Monterey  and San Benito Counties. Humidity
values increase by Wednesday.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-241700-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


$$

ECC031-241700-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


$$

ECC024-241700-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


$$

ECC032-241700-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


$$

ECC030-241700-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
346 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Winds will increase 10 to
20 mph  from Monday into Tuesday...when sustained winds 20 to 30 mph
and  gusts to 50 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal and
valley  areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, and sustained
20 to 35 mph with gusts to 60 mph common in the mountains. Weaker
but gusty winds on Wednesday should be slightly weaker than Monday.
Minimum  humidities of 6 to 12 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will  exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 and lows  between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and hilly
locations may only  drop into the 80s at night. With these prolonged
weather conditions along with the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if  any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain in effect  through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but easterly winds  peaked on Sunday and should be
localized with the strongest gusts  between 20 and 30 mph in the
wind prone areas. As such, elevated fire weather conditions exist
there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but much improved but still warm and dry
conditions will continue away from the coast with elevated fire
concerns.


$$



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