Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

ECC029-181630-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

A STORM SYSTEM BROUGHT STRONG WINDS AND RAIN TO THE DISTRICT TODAY.
EXPECT SHOWERS TO TAPER OFF THIS EVENING... AND WINDS TO DIMINISH.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IN THE
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER
ROUND OF RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WITH UNSETTLED WET WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGH MIDWEEK.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-181630-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


$$

ECC031-181630-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


$$

ECC024-181630-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


$$

ECC032-181630-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


$$

ECC030-181630-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
230 PM PST FRI FEB 17 2017

...VERY STRONG WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA  THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIALLY  DAMAGING
SOUTHERLY WINDS...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST AND
VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS...

A VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE  AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT, BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO
THE AREA. ON SATURDAY, COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR BEHIND THE STORM WILL
GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA.

THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY
SIGNIFICANT (2 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS  WITH
5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS). THE HIGHEST TOTALS
WILL OCCUR ON SOUTH-FACING SLOPES. RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE HALF
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY ON SATURDAY (IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS). FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS  WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOS ANGELES, VENTURA AND SOUTHERN SANTA  BARBARA
COUNTIES, ESPECIALLY BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS. IN ADDITION, THERE
WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF ROCK AND MUDSLIDES,  ESPECIALLY NEAR
CANYONS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH  THIS STORM ACROSS
THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 6000 AND 8000 FEET. ADDITIONALLY,  GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH  DAMAGING
WINDS POSSIBLY DOWNING TREES AND POWERLINES.

ON SUNDAY, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HOWEVER FOR MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST, RESULTING IN THE CONTINUED THREAT OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


$$


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