Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 232150
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
150 PM PDT SUN NOV 23 2014

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##    Then edit them in this product and store as:      ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO LOWER...WITH WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITY VALUES DEVELOPING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  LOCALLY GUSTY
EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF RIVERSIDE
AND SAN DIEGO COUNTIES ON THANKSGIVING DAY.  ONSHORE FLOW WILL
RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...WITH A COOLING TREND AND
INCREASING HUMIDITIES.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX


MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE
SANTA YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN
SOME AND SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD
SPREAD INTO MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND
WILL LOWER THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A
MODERATE SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40
AND 50 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES
WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED. WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS.
IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
BEHIND A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION
SATURDAY. SOME CLOUDS WILL LINGER ALONG THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS AND
IN THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES
WILL REMAIN MODERATELY HIGH THROUGH MIDDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA BRINGING A WARMING TREND
THROUGH MIDWEEK. AT THE SAME TIME...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
GREAT BASIN WILL BRING A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW BEGINNING LATE
TODAY...RESULTING IN A DRYING TREND THROUGH MIDWEEK.




Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY. THE STRONGEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FROM LAKE MOHAVE TO
LAKE HAVASU. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CALMER CONDITIONS MONDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST PART OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA. THE WINDS WILL ALSO USHER IN VERY
DRY AIR BY THIS AFTERNOON FOR A BIG INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER COMPARED
TO THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY TOUCH CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS DURING PART OF THE AFTERNOON...MOST LIKELY OVER THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND RIDGETOPS IN EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND
EASTERN IMPERIAL COUNTY. MUCH LIGHTER WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA TODAY. LIGHTER WINDS OVERALL CAN BE EXPECTED
MONDAY BUT WITH LINGERING BREEZINESS. HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOW ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-240950-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
150 PM PDT SUN NOV 23 2014


SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO LOWER...WITH WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITY VALUES DEVELOPING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  LOCALLY GUSTY
EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF RIVERSIDE
AND SAN DIEGO COUNTIES ON THANKSGIVING DAY.  ONSHORE FLOW WILL
RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...WITH A COOLING TREND AND
INCREASING HUMIDITIES.

$$

ECC034-240950-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
150 PM PDT SUN NOV 23 2014


SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO LOWER...WITH WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITY VALUES DEVELOPING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  LOCALLY GUSTY
EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF RIVERSIDE
AND SAN DIEGO COUNTIES ON THANKSGIVING DAY.  ONSHORE FLOW WILL
RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...WITH A COOLING TREND AND
INCREASING HUMIDITIES.

$$

ECC035-240950-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
150 PM PDT SUN NOV 23 2014


SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING PERIODS OF
STRONG GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS OCCURRING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.  HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO LOWER...WITH WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITY VALUES DEVELOPING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  LOCALLY GUSTY
EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF RIVERSIDE
AND SAN DIEGO COUNTIES ON THANKSGIVING DAY.  ONSHORE FLOW WILL
RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...WITH A COOLING TREND AND
INCREASING HUMIDITIES.

$$




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