Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 241500
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Lawrence SW...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1000 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service in Aberdeen SD.

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure crossing the region will bring breezy,
southerly winds through this afternoon. This system will bring
scattered showers, possibly reaching the burn site as early as 2
pm. Sprinkles are possible before 2 pm. Winds will shift to the
northwest behind the surface low, mostly likely after 6 pm. The
northwesterly winds maybe gusty at times before subsiding below 10
mph around 10 pm.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent cloud). A slight
                    chance of showers in the morning, then a chance
                    of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....62-67.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 16 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph...becoming west around 12 mph early.
CWR.................11 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl...increasing to 4600-5600 ft agl
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 22 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor...increasing to good (96300-113200) in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........86  88  87  87  87  86  86
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  62  63  63  63  62  60
RH..............49  46  44  46  48  50  53
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  W
20 FT wind spd..16  16  16  16  15  13  12
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  25  20  20  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent cloud).
Min temperature.....33-38.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......700-1700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 17 mph...increasing to north 24
                    to 29 mph in the late evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-39300).
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........88  87  84  83  83  84  84  84  84  85  86  88
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  53  49  46  43  42  41  40  39  38  36  35
RH..............59  64  71  76  82  82  82  82  85  85  89  92
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..10  12  14  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  15
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent cloud). A chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....40-45.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 15 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph...increasing to 30 mph late.
CWR.................9 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 26 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22300-63200).
Haines Index........2 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........87  87  88  89  90  92  94  94  95  96  97  97
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  35  35  36  38  39  40  41  41  41  41  40
RH..............89  89  89  85  79  76  73  70  70  70  70  73
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..15  16  17  17  17  16  16  17  17  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  30  30  30

$$
Forecaster...Doering
Requested by...Phil Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707668.0/ABR
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov



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