Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 051334
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ORTLEY GPA...STATE OF SOUTH DAKOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
834 AM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT SOUTH WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND
GRADUALLY SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS AROUND 80 DEGREES. MIN RH VALUES WILL GET
RATHER LOW DURING PEAK HEATING BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH READINGS
GETTING INTO THE LOWER 20S.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7100 FT AGL AFTER 1600.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN 21 TO
                    29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21100-31100) UNTIL 1300. VERY GOOD AFTER
                    1600.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........5   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  69  72  75  77  79  80  80  79
RH..............43  37  34  29  28  26  25  25  27
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   11  12  12  14  14  12  12  11
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000-4900).
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   3   4   5   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  72  67  63  60  59  59  58  57  55  54  54
RH..............30  37  45  54  58  57  55  57  59  66  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..10  9   8   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH
                    7 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1600.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5500-5700 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 29 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST
                    13 TO 18 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN NORTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH UNTIL 1600...THEN NORTH 19 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (17800-27800) UNTIL 1300. VERY GOOD AFTER
                    1600.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........7   8   10  12  13  15  16  22  28  34  41  47
WEATHER COV.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                    RW  RW  RW
TEMP............56  60  66  72  76  79  82  83  84  84  83  81
RH..............64  58  50  42  39  35  33  32  31  31  31  32
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  9   8   8   9   10  12  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25

$$
FORECASTER...TMT
REQUESTED BY...BRETT BLANK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.ORTLE.01/ABR


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