Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 201037
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
637 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
BURN SITE. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFFSHORE WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
TODAY AT 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE MID 30S TODAY WITH GREAT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY TONIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE AND AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............30  30  30  30  30  30  31  31  31  36  36  36
WEATHER COV.........PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........FST FST FST
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  37  38  45  53  59  62  64  67  67  67  67
RH..................95  92  89  82  64  49  44  40  36  37  37  39
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   2   3   5   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   7   12  16  17  17  17  17  17  17
VRATE KT-FT/1000....0   0   1   5   16  30  37  42  46  46  46  47
LVORI...............10  9   7   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................0   0   1   3   23  42  50  54  42  42  42  42
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............39  39  39  55  55  55  80  80  80  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  59  58  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  52  52
RH..................45  55  59  64  69  69  74  74  80  80  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   5   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  21  21  18  14  10  9   9   9   8   8   7
VRATE KT-FT/1000....36  22  5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   6
ADI.................49  32  16  14  9   7   6   6   6   6   5   3
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  76  76  70  70  70  66  66  66  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  52  53  56  61  65  67  68  68  68  68  67
RH..................86  89  86  77  67  58  52  51  49  49  49  50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  13  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   4   9   15  23  31  39  39  37  36
LVORI...............6   6   6   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................3   2   2   3   12  18  24  30  34  34  33  32
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4



FORECASTER...MINNICK
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.WILNA.01/AKQ





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