Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS74 KAMA 230111
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR BOWERS RANCH...Texas A&M Forest Service
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
811 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2100 CDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail at the fire site through
Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, some slow
moving with locally very heavy rainfall, can be expected at the
fire site tonight through Sunday, mainly after 2200 hours tonight
to 0000 hours Sunday morning. Winds will be mainly out of the south
and southwest 5 to 15 mph however thunderstorms will create outflow
boundaries which will result in strong and erratic winds at times.
These winds should likely be from the east and southeast and could
gust as high as 40 to 50 mph with the strongest storms. Wetting
rains, between one quarter and one half inch, will be possible
from the showers and storms later this evening through Sunday with
amounts up to one inch or more possible at the fire site.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-42500 knot-ft).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
LAL.................2.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 21 mph late in the night.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.

Time (CDT)      9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather Cov.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............86     81     78     75     72
RH..............37     44     48     58     64
20 Ft Wind......S 8    S 8    SW 7   W 6    NW 5
20 Ft Wind Gust.10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).20     20     10     10     10
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.20     0      0      8      8

.SUNDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-38500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (56000-70000 knot-ft) late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 3.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............70     73     82     88     93     96
RH..............68     62     47     36     31     28
20 Ft Wind......NW 5   NW 6   N 9    N 7    NE 7   E 6
20 Ft Wind Gust.       10     10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     30     30
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.5      3      8      14     28     56

$$
Forecaster...Schneider
Requested by...M. PETERS
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713194.0/AMA



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.