Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 202007
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPLE RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
407 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE PASSING WELL NORTH OF THE STATE WILL
DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. THAT FRONT WILL
STALL OVER THE AREA...UNTIL ANOTHER LOW CROSSES LOWER MICHIGAN
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

AT THE FIRE SITE...CLOUDS WILL THICKEN THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT SIGNIFICANT RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW INTO MID EVENING...BUT RECOVER
RAPIDLY WHEN RAIN ARRIVES. PRESENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING...AND REMAIN LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
THROUGH MONDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
                    SHOWERS...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........79  93  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL OCL
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............68  67  64  61  57  54  51  49  48  47  47  47
RH..............22  25  30  36  43  50  56  63  68  71  74  74
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   4   4
SMOKE DISP......500 500 500 300 200 100 0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 24
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1300).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    98     94     92     92
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............45     46     56     64     63     63
RH..............82     83     66     60     67     67
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 3    SW 4   SW 4   SW 5   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      4
SMOKE DISP......0      0      100    400    700    1300

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF ZOLTOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...J  ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140420.MAPLE.01/APX






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