Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 301312
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for coteau prairie 2...USFWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
812 AM CDT Tue May 30 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

At ignition time, look for breezy north/northwest winds around 15 mph
with gusts near 23 mph. Winds will begin to subside by late afternoon.
In regards to minimum RH, values around 25 percent are expected by late
afternoon. Otherwise, clear skies and dry weather is in the forecast today
for the burn area.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North/Northwest winds 15 to 23 mph.
Mixing height.......5700-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (88200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  15  10  10  9   6
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  56  58  60  61  63
RH..............48  43  37  30  28  25
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  13  13  10
20 FT wind gust.23  23  23  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 6.5 6.6 6.8 7.0 6.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  17  17  17  15  15
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100097  97  100 102 91  88

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds up to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......6400-6600 ft AGL decreasing to 200-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the south 5 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (43500-85500 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (500-23300 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   2   2   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  61  58  53  49  45  43  42  41  40  39  38
RH..............32  32  38  42  55  66  75  79  79  82  86  89
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   6   5   3   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  5           5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.6 6.4 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  12  12  12  5   5   5   3   3   3   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100086  64  44  23  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......200-1800 ft AGL increasing to 5300-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (800-49400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (49600 knot-ft) late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........7         3         4         6
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............38        50        64        70
RH..............89        58        35        29
20 FT wind......S 4G5     S 8G10    S 10G15   S 10G15
Mix hgt (ft)....200       3300      5300      5600
Transport wind..S 6       S 7       S 12      S 12
Haines index....3         4         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/10001         33        53        52

$$
Forecaster...COOPER
Requested by...Calvin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1710285.0/BIS
.EMAIL calvin_moldenhauer@fws.gov


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