Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 031252
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINABEE WF...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
652 AM CST SAT DEC 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1100 CST ON DECEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT RAIN WILL SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY. HEAVIER RAINFALL
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.
FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 2.5 TO 3.5 INCHES THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 15 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........89     95     97     100
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20     20     40     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1
TEMP............50     53     54     53
RH..............49     41     43     50
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 3   NE 3   NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1800   1800   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7   E 6    NE 6   NE 8
DISPERSION IDX..5      13     13     16
LVORI...........2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............60     70     70     70     80     90
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
TEMP............49     48     47     46     45     45
RH..............62     69     74     80     84     84
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 5   E 6    E 6    E 7    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1000   800    800    900    900
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 12  NE 12  E 12   E 13   E 13   E 14
DISPERSION IDX..17     15     13     11     11     12
LVORI...........3      3      3      4      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............90     90     90     90     90     90
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2
TEMP............46     46     47     48     50     50
RH..............81     79     81     83     80     83
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 7    E 6    SE 7   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....800    900    800    700    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16  SE 15  SE 15  SE 16  SE 15  SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..14     13     13     16     12     7
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...HOLMES
REQUESTED BY...J KRIS WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1603842.1/BMX



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