Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 172354
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINGREE HILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
554 PM MDT FRI OCT 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1215 MDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH MONDAY.  THE AIR MASS WILL BE FAIRLY
DRY...VERY LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOR SURE.  TEMPERATURES WILL
BE AT OR A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1800...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1100-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6200-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1300-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 4700-5700 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6800-7800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PINGREE HILL.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/17-17 45  0  0 52 43 ESE  7  7 2 1   W 28  3691   S  6 22351 P
10/17-18 26  0  0 49 50 ESE  8 13 2 1   W 25  2355 SSE  3  7401 P
10/17-19 25  0  0 46 56 ESE  7  7 2 1   W 23  1937 SSE  5  6681 P
10/17-20 26  0  0 42 65  SE  5  5 2 1   W 21  1518 SSE  5  5960 P
10/17-21 17  0  0 39 73  SE  3  3 2 1   W 18  1099 SSE  6  5240 P
10/17-22 21  0  0 37 78 SSE  2  2 2 1   W 18  1120 SSE  6  5407 P
10/17-23 25  0  0 36 80   S  2  2 3 1   W 18  1141   S  6  5575 P
10/18-00 20  0  0 36 79   S  2  2 3 1   W 18  1162   S  6  5742 P
10/18-01 16  0  0 36 76   S  2  2 3 1   W 18  1156   S  6  5476 P
10/18-02 17  0  0 36 72  SW  3  3 3 1   W 17  1150  SW  6  5210 P
10/18-03 16  0  0 36 70 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 17  1144 WSW  5  4944 P
10/18-04 16  0  0 35 70 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 17  1191 WSW  6  5415 P
10/18-05 18  0  0 35 69 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 16  1238 WSW  6  5885 P
10/18-06 25  0  0 36 67 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 15  1286 WSW  6  6355 P
10/18-07 23  0  0 39 62 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 14  1404 WSW  6  7740 P
10/18-08 22  0  0 43 55 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 12  1522   W  7  9125 P
10/18-09 38  0  0 48 48 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 10  1640   W  7 10510 P
10/18-10 35  0  0 53 39 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW  8  3226   W  8 25094 P
10/18-11 43  0  0 57 33  SW  3  3 3 1   W  7  4811   W  9 39679 P
10/18-12 50  0  0 60 29  SW  3  3 3 1   W  6  6396   W  9 54263  F
10/18-13 54  0  0 61 28 SSW  3  3 3 1   W  7  7041   W  8 51305  F
10/18-14 54  0  0 61 29   S  3  3 3 1 WSW  7  7686   W  7 48347  F
10/18-15 54  0  0 60 31 SSE  3  3 3 1 WSW  8  8331   W  6 45389  F
10/18-16 54  0  0 58 35 SSE  3  3 3 1 WSW  9  6908   W  6 33930 P
10/18-17 49  0  0 57 39   S  2  2 3 1   W 10  5485 WNW  5 22472 P
10/18-18 43  1  0 54 45   S  2  2 3 1   W 10  4063 WNW  3 11013 P
10/18-19 39  1  0 52 47 SSW  2  2 3 1   W 10  3416 WNW  3 10637 P
10/18-20 35  0  0 48 53 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 10  2769 WNW  5 10261 P
10/18-21 32  0  0 46 53 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 10  2122 WNW  6  9885 P
10/18-22 28  0  0 44 56   W  5  5 3 1   W 10  1942 WNW  7 11126 P
10/18-23 24  0  0 43 56   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 10  1763 WNW  8 12368 P
10/19-00 20  0  0 43 55   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 10  1583   W 10 13609 P
10/19-01 20  0  0 44 52   W  8  8 3 1 WSW  9  1494   W 10 13804 P
10/19-02 21  0  0 44 51   W  8 13 3 1 WSW  8  1404 WNW 12 14000 P
10/19-03 22  0  0 43 53   W  8 13 3 1 WSW  7  1315 WNW 13 14196 P
10/19-04 23  0  0 42 54   W  8 14 3 1 WSW  7  1318 WNW 13 13922 P
10/19-05 24  0  0 41 56   W  8 14 3 1   W  6  1321 WNW 12 13649 P
10/19-06 24  0  0 41 57   W  8 13 3 1   W  5  1324 WNW 12 13376 P
10/19-07 24  0  0 43 56   W  7  7 3 1   W  5  1705  NW 10 14149 P
10/19-08 24  0  0 46 53   W  6  6 2 1   W  5  2086  NW  9 14921 P
10/19-09 24  0  0 50 48   W  5  5 2 1   W  5  2466  NW  7 15694 P
10/19-10 24  0  0 53 43 WNW  3  3 2 1   W  5  4278  NW  6 16975 P
10/19-11 24  0  0 57 36   N  3  3 2 1   W  6  6090 WNW  5 18256 P
10/19-12 24  1  0 59 33   N  3  3 2 1   W  7  7902 WNW  2 19537 P
10/19-13 24  1  0 61 31 NNE  5  5 2 1   W  8  7864 WNW  2 18292 P
10/19-14 24  1  0 61 32 ENE  5  5 2 1   W  9  7825  NW  2 17047 P
10/19-15 24  1  0 60 33 ENE  6  6 2 1   W 10  7786  NW  2 15802 P
10/19-16 24  1  0 58 36   E  6  6 2 1   W  9  6566   N  3 15698 P
10/19-17 24  1  0 56 40   E  5  5 3 1 WNW  8  5345   E  3 15593 P
10/19-18 14  0  0 53 45   E  5  5 3 1 WNW  7  4124  SE  5 15488 P
10/19-19 14  0  0 49 52 ESE  5  5 3 1 WNW  6  3157  SE  6 12950 P
10/19-20 14  0  0 46 58  SE  5  5 3 1 NNW  3  2189 SSE  7 10412 P
10/19-21 14  0  0 43 65  SE  5  5 3 1   N  2  1221 SSE  7  7873 P
10/19-22 14  0  0 41 69 SSE  5  5 3 1  NW  2  1278 SSE  8  8700 P
10/19-23 14  0  0 41 68   S  5  5 2 1   CALM  1336   S  8  9526 P
10/20-00  7  0  0 40 70   S  5  5 2 1   CALM  1393   S  8 10352 P
10/20-01  7  0  0 41 66 SSW  5  5 2 1 SSW  2  1451   S  8  9355 P
10/20-02  7  0  0 41 66  SW  5  5 2 1  SW  3  1508  SW  7  8357 P
10/20-03  7  0  0 40 67 WSW  5  5 2 1  SW  5  1565  SW  6  7359 P
10/20-04  7  0  0 40 66 WSW  5  5 2 1  SW  5  1564 WSW  5  6750 P
10/20-05  7  0  0 39 67 WSW  6  6 2 1  SW  5  1563 WSW  5  6140 P
10/20-06  6  0  0 39 67 WSW  6  6 2 1  SW  5  1562   W  5  5531 P
10/20-07  6  0  0 42 62 WSW  6  6 2 1  SW  6  1555 WSW  3  5137 P
10/20-08  6  0  0 45 57  SW  5  5 2 1 SSW  6  1549 WSW  3  4744 P
10/20-09  6  0  0 50 50  SW  5  5 2 1 SSW  6  1542 WSW  3  4350 P
10/20-10  6  0  0 54 44 SSW  5  5 2 1 SSW  7  3477  SW  3 13118 P
10/20-11  6  0  0 57 41   S  5  5 2 1 SSW  8  5412 SSW  5 21886 P
10/20-12 19  0  0 60 38 SSE  5  5 2 1 SSW  9  7347   S  5 30654 P
10/20-13 19  0  0 61 37 SSE  5  5 2 1 SSW 10  7430   S  5 30527 P
10/20-14 19  0  0 61 38 SSE  5  5 2 1 SSW 12  7513 SSW  5 30399 P
10/20-15 19  0  0 60 40 SSE  3  3 2 1  SW 12  7595 SSW  5 30272 P
10/20-16 19  0  0 58 44 SSE  3  3 2 1  SW 12  6040 SSW  5 24359 P
10/20-17 19  0  0 55 49 SSE  3  3 2 1 WSW 12  4485   S  5 18446 P
10/20-18 19  0  0 52 54 SSE  3  3 2 1 WSW 10  2929   S  5 12533 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...ANGELA TOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141017.PINGR.02/BOU


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