Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 122324
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR GLEN HAVEN FLOOD...ESTES PARK POLICE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
524 PM MDT SAT JUL 12 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1714 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THEE WILL BE PLENTY OF MOISTURE AROUND
FOR LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%). THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    2000...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95%.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0100...THEN 1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GLEN HAVEN FLOOD.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/12-17 80 61 39 72 54  NE  6  6 2 4  NW 18  6766 NNW  7 41740  F
07/12-18 77 61 39 71 59  NE  6  6 2 4  NW 18  6890 NNW  7 43643  F
07/12-19 72 61 39 69 62  NE  5  5 2 3 NNW 17  6083 NNW  7 34987 P
07/12-20 68 51 27 66 70 ENE  3  3 2 3   N 17  5276   N  6 26331 P
07/12-21 63 41 18 63 74  NE  2  2 2 3 NNE 16  4469   N  5 17676 P
07/12-22 58 30  9 61 78 WNW  3  3 2 2 NNE 14  3982   N  5 14716 P
07/12-23 54 20  4 59 81 WNW  3  3 2 2   N 12  3495 NNW  3 11757 P
07/13-00 49 10  2 57 86   W  3  3 2 2   N  9  3008 NNW  3  8798 P
07/13-01 48  9  2 56 88 WNW  5  5 2 2   N  9  2639  NW  3  7063 P
07/13-02 47  9  2 54 88 WNW  5  5 2 2   N  9  2271 WNW  2  5328 P
07/13-03 46  8  2 53 89 WNW  5  5 2 1 NNW 10  1902   W  2  3593 P
07/13-04 44  8  2 52 89 WNW  3  3 2 1 NNW 12  1890   W  2  3539 P
07/13-05 43  8  2 52 89 WNW  3  3 2 1 NNW 13  1878   W  2  3485 P
07/13-06 42  9  2 53 86 WNW  3  3 2 1 NNW 15  1866   W  2  3432 P
07/13-07 42  8  2 56 80 WNW  2  2 2 1 NNW 16  3021  NW  2  5860 P
07/13-08 42  8  2 60 74 ENE  2  2 2 1 NNW 17  4176   N  2  8288 P
07/13-09 47 11  2 65 66 ESE  3  3 2 2 NNW 18  5331 NNE  2 10716 P
07/13-10 53 11  2 68 58 ESE  3  3 2 2 NNW 18  6843   N  3 25623 P
07/13-11 58 11  2 71 52 ESE  3  3 2 2  NW 18  8355 NNW  5 40531  F
07/13-12 63 22  4 74 48   E  5  5 2 3  NW 18  9868  NW  7 55439  F
07/13-13 64 28  8 75 47   E  6  6 2 3  NW 17  9514  NW  5 40521  F
07/13-14 65 33 12 75 48 ESE  6  6 2 3 WNW 15  9159  NW  3 25602 P
07/13-15 66 44 21 75 48 ESE  7  7 2 3 WNW 14  8805   CALM 10683 P
07/13-16 67 44 21 74 49   E  7  7 2 3 WNW 15  8178  NW  2 13601 P
07/13-17 68 44 21 73 51   E  7  7 3 3  NW 17  7550   W  2 16520 P
07/13-18 71 46 23 71 55   E  7  7 3 4  NW 18  6923   W  3 19438 P
07/13-19 71 46 23 68 60   E  6  6 3 4  NW 18  5575 WSW  5 19343 P
07/13-20 71 46 23 65 66  SE  6  6 3 4  NW 17  4228 SSW  6 19247 P
07/13-21 71 46 23 62 72  SE  5  5 3 4  NW 17  2880   S  8 19152 P
07/13-22 71 46 23 60 76   S  3  3 3 4  NW 16  2519   S  6 14585 P
07/13-23 71 46 23 58 80   W  2  2 3 4  NW 16  2158   S  5 10018 P
07/14-00 59  4  1 57 80 WNW  2  2 3 1  NW 15  1798   S  3  5451 P
07/14-01 59  4  1 56 80 WNW  2  2 3 1  NW 16  1694  SW  3  5208 P
07/14-02 59  4  1 55 80 WNW  3  3 3 1  NW 18  1591   W  3  4965 P
07/14-03 59  4  1 53 83 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 20  1488  NW  3  4722 P
07/14-04 59  4  1 52 85 WNW  5  5 3 1  NW 22  1576  NW  5  6746 P
07/14-05 59  4  1 51 89 WNW  6  6 3 1  NW 23  1664 NNW  6  8770 P
07/14-06 39  8  2 52 86 WNW  6  6 3 1  NW 25  1752 NNW  7 10793 P
07/14-07 39  8  2 55 78  NW  6  6 3 1  NW 24  3365 NNW  8 23631 P
07/14-08 39  8  2 60 66   N  6  6 2 1  NW 24  4978 NNW  8 36468 P
07/14-09 39  8  2 65 56 NNE  6  6 2 1  NW 23  6591 NNW  8 49306  F
07/14-10 39  8  2 69 48  NE  6  6 2 1  NW 23  7473 NNW  8 48210  F
07/14-11 39  8  2 72 43 ENE  7  7 2 1 WNW 23  8355  NW  7 47114  F
07/14-12 73 42 19 73 41 ENE  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  9237  NW  6 46019  F
07/14-13 73 42 19 74 40 ENE  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  8960 WNW  5 39885 P
07/14-14 73 42 19 74 40   E  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  8682 WSW  5 33751 P
07/14-15 73 42 19 73 41   E  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  8404  SW  3 27617 P
07/14-16 73 42 19 72 43   E  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  7683 SSW  3 24626 P
07/14-17 73 42 19 71 45   E  8 13 2 4 WNW 23  6962 SSW  3 21635 P
07/14-18 73 30  9 69 49   E  8 13 2 4 WNW 23  6240   S  3 18645 P
07/14-19 73 30  9 66 54   E  8  8 2 4 WNW 22  5458   S  5 21059 P
07/14-20 73 30  9 62 61   E  7  7 3 4 WNW 20  4675 SSE  6 23474 P
07/14-21 73 30  9 59 67 ESE  6  6 3 4 WNW 18  3893 SSE  8 25889 P
07/14-22 73 30  9 57 72 ESE  6  6 3 4 WNW 18  3440 SSE  9 25489 P
07/14-23 73 30  9 55 77  SE  5  5 3 4 WNW 20  2986 SSE 10 25090 P
07/15-00 57  4  1 54 80  SE  5  5 3 1 WNW 20  2532   S 12 24691 P
07/15-01 57  4  1 53 82 SSE  3  3 3 1  NW 22  2123   S  9 18208 P
07/15-02 57  4  1 52 84   S  2  2 3 1  NW 24  1713  SW  7 11726 P
07/15-03 57  4  1 50 89 SSW  2  2 3 1  NW 28  1303 WSW  5  5244 P
07/15-04 57  4  1 49 92 SSW  2  2 3 1  NW 28  1297 WSW  5  5656 P
07/15-05 57  4  1 49 92  SW  3  3 3 1  NW 28  1291 WNW  6  6068 P
07/15-06 56  8  2 51 86 WSW  3  3 3 1  NW 28  1285  NW  6  6480 P
07/15-07 56  8  2 55 75   S  3  3 3 1  NW 29  2857  NW 12 45001  F
07/15-08 56  8  2 61 61 ESE  2  2 3 1  NW 30  4430 NNW 17 83522   G
07/15-09 56  8  2 66 52 ENE  2  2 3 1  NW 31  6002 NNW 23122043    V
07/15-10 56  8  2 70 46 ENE  2  2 3 1  NW 30  7204 NNW 21125826    V
07/15-11 56  8  2 72 44 NNE  2  2 3 1  NW 30  8405  NW 18129609    V
07/15-12 76 49 25 74 41 NNE  2  2 3 4  NW 29  9607 WNW 16133392    V
07/15-13 76 49 25 74 42 NNE  3  3 3 4  NW 26  9439 WNW 13106737    V
07/15-14 76 49 25 74 43  NE  5  5 3 4 WNW 25  9270  NW 10 80083   G
07/15-15 76 49 25 74 43 ENE  6  6 3 4 WNW 23  9102  NW  7 53429  F
07/15-16 76 49 25 73 45   E  6  6 3 4   W 23  8162   W  8 56720  F
07/15-17 76 49 25 72 47 ESE  5  5 2 4   W 24  7223  SW 10 60010   G
07/15-18 78 42 19 70 51  SE  5  5 2 4   W 24  6284   S 12 63301   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF JASON G
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140712.GLENH.01/BOU



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