Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 201341
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for AG Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
641 AM MST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

|DISCUSSION...Today and tonight...Elevated fire weather conditions
will occur in and near the Foothills with continued dry
conditions. West winds will pick up this morning and could gust
over 25 mph. Tonight and into early morning Tuesday stronger west
winds are possible with gusts to 40 mph possible.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(35-45%) until 0700, then mostly
                    sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7-13 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3900-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25-30 mph until 1100, then west 15-25
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
                    good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11-17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Mixing height.......2100-3100 ft AGL until 2000, then 1200-1300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15-20 mph until 2300, then 25-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1800, then poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    until late afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100-3100 ft AGL until 1100, then 3900-4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
                    good until 1100, then very good until 1600,
                    then good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Southwest winds 9-13 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Colder. Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 6-10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 14. Highs in the upper
20s. Northwest winds 6-10 mph.


Fire Weather Table for AG Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/20-09 19  1  0 30 43   W 14 22 5 1 WNW 26  2311 WNW 24 49480  F
02/20-10 22  0  0 34 40   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 25  3126 WNW 24 66660   G
02/20-11  6  0  0 38 35   W 15 24 4 1 WNW 24  3942 WNW 24 83689   G
02/20-12  9  0  0 40 34   W 15 24 4 1 WNW 22  4438 WNW 22 85850   G
02/20-13 12  0  0 42 33   W 15 24 3 1  NW 21  4934 WNW 20 86143   G
02/20-14 15  1  0 42 35   W 14 22 3 1  NW 18  5429 WNW 18 84568   G
02/20-15 18  1  0 42 35   W 14 22 4 1  NW 17  4698 WNW 17 72151   G
02/20-16 21  1  0 40 37   W 13 21 4 1  NW 16  3967   W 17 60055   G
02/20-17 24  1  0 39 37   W 13 21 5 1  NW 15  3236   W 17 48278  F
02/20-18 25  1  0 37 38   W 13 21 5 1  NW 16  2569   W 17 38134 P
02/20-19 25  1  0 35 40   W 13 21 5 1 WNW 16  1903   W 17 28095 P
02/20-20 26  0  0 33 43   W 14 22 5 1 WNW 17  1236   W 17 18158 P
02/20-21 24  0  0 33 43   W 15 24 4 1   W 21  1261   W 20 21080 P
02/20-22 21  0  0 34 43   W 16 25 4 1   W 23  1285   W 22 24101 P
02/20-23 19  0  0 34 45   W 18 30 3 1   W 26  1310   W 24 27221 P
02/21-00 18  0  0 35 45   W 20 31 3 1   W 30  1319   W 24 27575 P
02/21-01 18  0  0 35 50   W 21 33 3 1   W 33  1327   W 24 27931 P
02/21-02 17  0  0 35 52   W 17 28 3 1   W 37  1336   W 24 28289 P
02/21-03 17  0  0 36 52   W 15 24 4 1   W 40  1318   W 24 27222 P
02/21-04 18  0  0 36 52   W 15 24 4 1   W 44  1299   W 23 26400 P
02/21-05 18  0  0 36 48   W 16 25 5 1   W 47  1281   W 23 25591 P
02/21-06 18  0  0 35 48   W 15 24 5 1   W 46  1345   W 23 26978 P
02/21-07 18  0  0 35 46 WSW 15 23 4 1   W 45  1409   W 23 28375 P
02/21-08 18  0  0 37 42 WSW 14 22 4 1   W 43  1472   W 23 29783 P
02/21-09 18  0  0 40 38 WSW 14 22 4 1   W 41  2552   W 25 57263  F
02/21-10 18  0  0 45 33 WSW 13 21 3 1   W 40  3631   W 29 89526   G
02/21-11 19  0  0 49 29 WSW 13 21 3 1 WSW 39  4710 WSW 31126573    V
02/21-12 19  0  0 51 27  SW 12 18 3 1 WSW 37  4887 WSW 29122878    V
02/21-13 19  0  0 51 26  SW 10 17 4 1 WSW 36  5064 WSW 26118571    V
02/21-14 19  0  0 50 27  SW 10 16 4 1 WSW 35  5241 WSW 25113652    V
02/21-15 19  0  0 48 28  SW 10 17 4 1 WSW 35  4414 WSW 26100276    V
02/21-16 19  0  0 46 31  SW 12 17 5 1 WSW 35  3587 WSW 28 85195   G
02/21-17 30  4  1 43 35  SW 12 18 5 1   W 35  2760   W 29 68408   G
02/21-18 30  4  1 41 39  SW 12 18 5 1   W 35  2460   W 29 60438   G
02/21-19 30  4  1 39 43  SW 12 20 5 1   W 33  2160   W 28 52598  F
02/21-20 30  4  1 38 46  SW 13 21 5 1   W 33  1860   W 28 44889  F
02/21-21 30  4  1 38 46  SW 15 23 5 1   W 36  2087   W 32 58402  F
02/21-22 30  4  1 38 46  SW 17 26 5 1   W 38  2314   W 37 73662   G
02/21-23 28  7  1 38 46  SW 18 30 5 1 WSW 41  2541   W 41 90670   G
02/22-00 28  7  1 38 47  SW 18 29 5 1 WSW 44  2635   W 43 97081   G
02/22-01 28  7  1 38 47  SW 17 28 5 1 WSW 46  2728 WSW 44103711    V
02/22-02 28  7  1 37 50  SW 16 25 5 1 WSW 49  2822 WSW 45110559    V
02/22-03 28  7  1 36 52  SW 15 24 4 1 WSW 55  3311 WSW 46131236    V
02/22-04 28  7  1 36 51  SW 15 23 4 1 WSW 62  3801 WSW 46152356     E
02/22-05 25  6  1 35 52  SW 14 22 3 1 WSW 69  4290 WSW 47173919     E
02/22-06 25  6  1 34 52 WSW 13 21 4 1 WSW 68  4085 WSW 44156897     E
02/22-07 25  6  1 34 51 WSW 12 20 4 1 WSW 68  3880 WSW 41140749    V
02/22-08 25  6  1 35 47 WSW 12 18 5 1 WSW 68  3675 WSW 39125476    V
02/22-09 25  6  1 37 43 WSW 12 18 5 1 WSW 69  4181 WSW 40144686    V
02/22-10 25  6  1 40 38  SW 13 20 4 1 WSW 70  4687 WSW 40164366     E
02/22-11 27  7  1 42 35  SW 13 21 4 1 WSW 71  5192 WSW 41184517     E
02/22-12 27  7  1 44 31  SW 13 21 4 1   W 69  5583 WSW 40195606     E
02/22-13 27  7  1 44 31  SW 14 22 3 1   W 68  5973 WSW 40206306     E
02/22-14 27  7  1 43 32  SW 14 22 3 1   W 67  6363 WSW 39216617     E
02/22-15 27  7  1 42 34  SW 13 21 3 1   W 64  6131 WSW 38200313     E
02/22-16 27  7  1 41 37  SW 13 20 2 1   W 63  5898 WSW 36184646     E
02/22-17 33 12  2 39 41  SW 12 18 2 1   W 61  5666 WSW 35169615     E
02/22-18 32 12  2 37 43  SW 12 20 2 1 WSW 61  4825 WSW 33139394    V
02/22-19 29 12  2 35 46  SW 13 20 2 1 WSW 61  3984 WSW 32110931    V
02/22-20 27 12  2 34 47  SW 13 21 2 1 WSW 61  3142 WSW 31 84224   G
02/22-21 31 12  2 32 52  SW 12 18 2 1 WSW 59  2909  SW 25 64114   G
02/22-22 38 12  2 31 55  SW 10 16 2 1 WSW 56  2676 SSW 20 46226  F
02/22-23 42 17  3 30 58  SW  9 15 2 1 WSW 54  2443 SSW 15 30559 P
02/23-00 43 17  3 30 57  SW  9 14 2 1 WSW 53  2305 SSW 14 28380 P
02/23-01 44 17  3 28 60  SW  8 14 2 1  SW 53  2167 SSW 14 26255 P
02/23-02 45 17  3 27 60 SSW  8 13 2 1  SW 53  2028 SSW 14 24184 P
02/23-03 48 17  3 26 61 SSW  8  8 2 1  SW 52  1931 SSW 14 22629 P
02/23-04 53 17  3 25 63 SSW  7  7 2 1  SW 52  1833 SSW 14 21113 P
02/23-05 56 31 10 24 65 SSW  7  7 2 1  SW 51  1736 SSW 13 19637 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...SCHLATTER
REQUESTED BY...Tom McCollum
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700983.16/BOU


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