Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
FNUS74 KBRO 161433 CCA
FWSBRO

SPOT FORECAST FOR GATOR POND RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
727 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STATIONARY FRONT STALLED NEAR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WILL MAINTAIN THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................90 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2400 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70  72  74  77  79  81  82  82  79  76
RH..............90  86  80  73  66  61  58  59  64  71
20 FT WIND DIR..170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160 160
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  15  16  16  16  16  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  20  21  22  23  23  23  23  22  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........50  50  50  50  50  50  70  70  70  70  70  70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74  72  71  70  70  70  69  69  69  69  68  68
RH..............79  85  89  92  93  94  94  95  96  97  98  98
20 FT WIND DIR..160 160 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
20 FT WIND SPD..14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.160 160 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 160 170 160 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  17  16  16  16  17  17  17  17  16  15  14

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-3200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68  69  70  72  73  75  77  79  81  81  78  75
RH..............98  96  93  90  85  79  74  68  64  62  68  77
20 FT WIND DIR..160 150 150 150 150 150 150 140 130 130 120 120
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.160 150 150 150 150 150 150 140 130 130 120 120
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 150 150 150 160 160 150 140 130 130 130
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  16  18  21  22  22  22  21  18  16  15  14

$$
FORECASTER...SPEECE
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT AFFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700439.0/BRO
.EMAIL SCOTT_AFFELDT@FWS.GOV



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