Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 041912
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
112 PM MDT FRI SEP 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1240 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...

...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...SOME STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE FIRE SITE
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND SHOULD BEGIN DEVELOPING
IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FIRE SITE
SATURDAY...SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO TREND COOLER AT THE FIRE SITE TODAY AND
SATURDAY...WITH RISING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...INCREASING CLOUD
COVER...AND INCREASING CWR. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY
AND SATURDAY AT THE FIRE SITE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GUSTY WINDS
FROM THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL TURN WEST BY SUNDAY MORNING AND
BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO
THE FIRE SITE ON SUNDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................46 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 25 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................51 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...GILSTAD
REQUESTED BY...TASHA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150904.WILLO.01/BYZ



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