Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 061435
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR YARGER BUTTE--BOBCAT UNIT...FORT HOWES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
835 AM MDT FRI MAY 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE BURN AREA AND WINDS ARE NOW
OUT OF THE NORTH. EXPECT WINDS TO CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY WITH GUSTS
TO 25 THROUGH THE DAY. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER IT IS
VERY UNLIKELY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS...EVEN IF THEY DO NOT IMPACT THE
BURN AREA...COULD PRODUCE SOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. EXPECT
WINDS TO DECREASE SOME OVERNIGHT TO 10 TO 15 MPH AND BY TOMORROW
SHIFT TO THE EAST. REIMER

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS...AND VERY
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................11 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH...GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY ERRATIC WIND POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............57  62  66  69  71  73  73  73  72  70
RH..............62  55  50  46  43  41  39  39  39  41
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..10  11  11  11  14  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  25  25  25  20  20  20
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
RIDGE WIND SPD..20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................21 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...REIMER/CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...MATT HARDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160506.YARGE.02/BYZ


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