Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 181441
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Cheraw H8/9...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Columbia SC
941 AM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on February 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...Frontal boundary currently just south of Charleston
has stalled and will begin slowly moving northward this afternoon.
This will result in increasing clouds this afternoon and as the
front moves across the burn area tonight some scattered showers.
Winds will be north-northeasterly at the beginning of the burn
then veer through the day becoming east-northeasterly by 3pm.
Relative humidity this afternoon will fall to 32 percent. Winds
tonight will remain easterly and along with the chances of rain
patchy fog is also expected. Monday morning the front will be just
north of the burn area with high pressure and warmer temperatures
expected for Monday afternoon.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 16 mph.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  17  16  16  18  22  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  61  64  65  66  66  65
RH..............51  44  36  34  33  32  34
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..030 040 050 060 070 080 090
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.7
Trasnp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  15  13  12  12  8   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after midnight. Patchy fog after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 6 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Min ADI.............2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     53     74     88     94     94
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RN/FG  RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     20     30
Temp............63     58     55     53     51     50
RH..............39     51     61     69     74     80
20 ft wind......E 6    E 3    E 4    SE 4   E 4    E 4
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   1200   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..E 10   SE 10  SE 10  E 7    E 6    E 6
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      3      5
ADI.............5      5      7      5      4      4

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A slight chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming south around
                    5 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 4 to 9 mph, increasing to 8 to 12 mph
                    late.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........93        92        83        69
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RN/FG     RN/FG     RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        20        20
Temp............49        56        67        73
RH..............83        72        59        55
20 FT wind......E 3G5     E 3G5     SE 4G5    S 5G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400       700       1600      2100
Transport wind..NE 3      NE 5      SE 5      S 12

$$
Forecaster...Proud
Requested by...Tom Dooley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802116.0/CAE



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