Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS71 KCTP 261948
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR CTP TEST...NWS STATE COLLEGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
348 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1520 EDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE
LATE THIS EVENING...ACCOMPANIED BY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND PERHAPS
EVEN A THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. COLD AIR
FLOWING OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES ON FRIDAY...WHILE FAIR WEATHER
PREVAILS ELSEWHERE. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH
PENNSYLVANIA ON SATURDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES.

&&

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 2100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES
                    UNTIL 2200...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL
                    2300...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0100...THEN 1-8
                    STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  91  96  98  96  91  89  90  94  96
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV............ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC ISO ISO ISO
TEMP................44  43  40  40  38  37  36  35  34  33  32  32
RH..................85  87  89  88  86  89  90  89  88  87  86  85
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......13  14  15  12  12  12  10  12  10  10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....20  17  15  15  16  16  15  13  10  9   7   7
LAL.................4   4   3   3   4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   3   3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600-5700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............95  94  93  90  88  86  84  82  81  82  83  84
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................31  31  30  32  33  35  35  36  36  36  36  36
RH..................84  84  83  79  74  70  68  65  62  61  60  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 1.0 1.3 2.2 3.4 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10  12
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER
REQUESTED BY...BILL G
TYPE OF REQUEST...TEST
.TAG 20150326.CTPTE.01/CTP


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.