Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 231023
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR DEN FIRE...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
623 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0610 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
REQUEST AREA TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

THE COMBINATION OF THE GUSTY WINDS...RELATIVELY DRY FINE
FUELS...AND AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVELY HUMIDITY OF 30 TO 35
PERCENT TODAY WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR WILDFIRE GROWTH.

FINE FUELS WILL BE DRIER...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY A BIT LOWER
ON THURSDAY...THOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............70  76  76  73  68  63  58  53  51  42  25  16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39  38  40  41  43  44  46  47  49  50  51  52
RH..................75  77  68  63  59  55  50  46  42  40  38  35
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......18  20  21  21  22  22  22  22  21  22  22  22
20 FT WIND GUST.....35  35  35  35  35  35  35  30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............16  17  17  16  16  15  15  15  7   7   7   7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  48  46  45  43  41  40  38  36  35  34  33
RH..................37  39  40  43  45  49  53  57  61  64  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......21  18  16  15  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............7   7   33  33  33  33  33  33  56  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................32  31  34  41  45  49  51  53  55  57  60  58
RH..................72  75  67  51  46  40  37  35  33  31  29  32
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...MCGUIRE  JAMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140423.BEARD.01/CTP



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