Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 170939
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 210 Stone Cabin...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
439 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 17.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...

A fair day is in store under high pressure. The wind this morning
will gradually subside. A strong cold front will approach from the
west and is expected to pass through the area Saturday night. Rain
showers and even a stray thunderstorm is possible on Saturday
before and along the front. This cold front will usher in the
coldest air of the season and lead to gusty wind and lake effect
snow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph,
                    becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......1100-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 22 mph, decreasing to 8 to 12
                    mph late.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  15  13  14  13  10  8   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  40  42  44  44  44  45  42
RH..............54  48  44  39  39  39  38  44
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   6   6   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  16  15  14  14  13  12  8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent), then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming south 5 to 6
                    mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 7 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........9      17     39     53     55     48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............39     35     32     31     32     32
RH..............50     66     75     78     78     81
20 ft wind......W 2    W 2    S 2    S 3    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....500    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..W 5    W 1    S 2    S 3    SE 5   S 6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain showers early in the morning. Rain
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........71     83     95     98     99     99
Weather cov.....       S CHC  DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............32     34     40     43     44     44
RH..............85     85     76     73     76     79
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 7
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 100    400    900    1000   700
Transport wind..SE 8   S 12   S 15   S 15   S 15   S 14

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Dangelo
Requested by...Jonathan Weaver
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718934.0/CTP
.EMAIL jonweaver@pa.gov



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