Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 301416
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCOY WMA...IOWA DNR-SAYLORVILLE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
916 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

SUNSHINE MIXED WITH SOME CLOUDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL SWITCH TO
THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN NOON AND 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY
NEAR 10 MPH THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2 TO
                    3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1100-14100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41  45  46  47  54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56  58  58  57  54
RH..............55  50  50  51  55
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..2   5   7   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  N
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   4   5   6   7
EYE LVL WND GST.            10  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.5 4.1 4.7 3.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  E   N   NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   2
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...VACHALEK
REQUESTED BY...JOSH GANSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.MCCOY.02/DMX



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