Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS73 KDTX 281227
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGE UNIT 2...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
827 AM EDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EDT ON APRIL 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SIMILAR CONCERNS ON THE FORECAST FOR BOTH AUSTIN ROAD AND REFUGE
UNIT. LATER IGNITION TIME MAY ENSURE MORE ALONG SHORE WIND
DIRECTION TO BE CONSIDERED. MID AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE WILL BE
LIGHT IN CHARACTER. MIN RH REMAINS INFLUENCED BY PROXIMITY TO BOTH
SAGINAW BAY WITH ALONG SHORE WIND AND BY LAKE HURON AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS BY MID AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...400).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........78  79  79  79  80
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............43  43  42  41  40
RH..............63  63  65  68  71
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  11  11  11
EYE LVL WND GST.20  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1
HAINES INDEX....3   2   2   2   2
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 200 200 200 200

$$

FORECASTER...TILLEY
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160428.REFUG.01/DTX


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