Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 221258
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 17...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
758 AM CDT FRI APR 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT NORTH WINDS BETWEEN 6 TO 10 MPH WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON TODAY BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND
SUNSET. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TODAT REMAINING
IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3
                    TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........85     56     29     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57     62     67     68
RH..............75     65     56     52
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 8    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
                    14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........7      2      3      3      5      10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68     64     58     54     52     50
RH..............52     60     77     77     83     89
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 3   E 5    E 5    SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4      4      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........7      5      3      4      8      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49     54     63     70     76     79
RH..............89     80     67     53     43     41
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 10  S 14   S 15   S 17   S 18
20 FT WIND GUST.              20     25     25     30
HAINES INDEX....2      4      5      5      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...MELL
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOUIRNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160422.UNIT1.01/EAX



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