Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 111623
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Mimbres Admin Site RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
923 AM MST Thu Jan 11 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on January 11.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

.DISCUSSION...
Storm system has exited region and winds will generally remain light
for the coming days.  Temperatures will be rebounding back to near
normal by tomorrow.  Drier air will also be filtering in with
relative humidities falling into the 20s.  This same general
pattern will continue into the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (46000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     8      8      8
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............41     44     51     49
RH..............50     41     30     27
20 ft wind......N 8    N 10   N 9    N 6
20 ft wind gust.20     20     15     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3900   3900   3900
Transport wind..N 20   N 18   N 16   N 12
Haines index....2      2      2      3
Vent Rate.......FAIR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 24
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
Sky (%).........6      6      6      9      9      9
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............45     35     30     28     27     26
RH..............31     43     50     58     62     64
20 ft wind......N 4    N 4    N 4    N 3    N 3    N 3
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   1700   1700   300    300    300
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 4 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (37500-61200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........10        10        12        12
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............23        25        51        58
RH..............62        68        29        23
20 FT wind......N 4G5     N 4G5     NW 5G15   NW 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....2300      2300      4400      4400
Transport wind..N 5       N 5       NW 18     NW 15
Haines index....3         3         3         3
Vent Rate.......POOR      POOR      GOOD      GOOD

$$
Forecaster...GRZYWACZ
Requested by...Ramon Woods RXBB
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800307.0/EPZ
.EMAIL nmsdc@fs.fed.us


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