Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sioux Falls, SD

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FNUS73 KFSD 221626
FWSFSD

SPOT FORECAST FOR AURORA PRAIRIE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1126 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WE CONTINUE TO WATCH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE BURN
AREA THIS MORNING. AS WE APPROACH MID-DAY...A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND
WILL DEVELOP. AFTER IGNITION TIME...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WINDS MAY
TAKE A MORE DIRECT SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AND INCREASE IN SPEED
SLIGHTLY. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO THIS
EVENING...WITH CLOUD CEILINGS LOWERING. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
% SKY COVER.....3   3   4   4   3   12  21  30  32  34  36  41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  54  63  65  68  71  73  74  74  74  74
RH..............85  76  66  35  34  32  29  28  26  25  24  24
DEWPOINT........37  37  43  35  36  37  37  38  37  36  35  35
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   0   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                                10  10  10  10
SMOKE DISPERSAL.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.9 4.3 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   3   6   7   7   6   5   5   6   8   10  10

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
% SKY COVER.....46     57     63     69     76     86
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     66     59     55     52     51
RH..............26     36     55     64     74     80
DEWPOINT........36     39     43     43     44     45
20 FT WIND......SSE 9  S 10   SSW 13 SSW 9  S 7    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10            10
SMOKE DISPERSAL.GOOD   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     20     30
MIX HGT (FT)....6300   3300   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10   S 12   SSW 14 SSW 10 S 8    S 9

.SATURDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
% SKY COVER.....95     100    100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............50     52     57     61     63     65
RH..............83     79     71     65     65     64
DEWPOINT........45     46     48     49     51     52
20 FT WIND......SSE 8  SE 10  SE 13  SSE 13 SSE 13 SSE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
SMOKE DISPERSAL.POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR   GOOD

WEATHER TYPE ABBREVIATIONS

1)  T  = THUNDERSTORMS
2)  R  = RAIN
3)  RW = RAIN SHOWERS
4)  L  = DRIZZLE
5)  ZR = FREEZING RAIN
6)  ZL = FREEZING DRIZZLE
7)  S  = SNOW
8)  SW = SNOW SHOWERS
9)  IP = ICE PELLETS
10) F  = FOG
11) ZF = FREEZING FOG
12) IC = ICE CRYSTALS
13) H  = HAZE
14) BS = BLOWING SNOW
15) K  = SMOKE
16) BD = BLOWING DUST
17) FR = FROST

$$
FORECASTER...DUX
REQUESTED BY...JOE BLASTICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.AUROR.01/FSD



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