Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 161827
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Tower...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1227 PM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 CST on December 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level storm system across West Texas will allow for
abundant moisture to move into the area by this afternoon.
Scattered showers will move in between 4-5 PM, with more
persistent rain possible this evening.

The extensive cloud cover getting ready to move in will keep
temperatures around 60 degrees today, and RH values are expected
to increase as we progress through to around 50% by 5 PM.

Winds will continue out of the south, generally below 10 mph, with
no significant wind shifts expected. Rain will end overnight with
low clouds lingering overnight into tomorrow morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 12 to 13 mph.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  72  75  83  92
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  60  60  59  55
RH..............34  35  33  37  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.14  17  17  17  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   8   8   8   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    early morning, then chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 10 mph.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99  99  98  92  85
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  49  46  44  43  43  43  43  43  43  44  44
RH..............56  66  76  89  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph becoming light.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 8 mph becoming light.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  76  72  69  66  62  59  57  55  53  50  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  44  46  47  51  54  57  58  60  62  62  59
RH..............100 100 96  93  83  74  69  67  62  58  58  64
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   6   3
20 FT wind gust.                                            4
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Hernandez
Requested by...Texas A&M Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1720032.0/FWD
.EMAIL sbrooks@tfs.tamu.edu



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