Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 221702
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Big Red Fire...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1102 AM MDT Tue Aug 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 MDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A disturbance will begin to influence the area today and mainly bring
an increase in clouds and isolated showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon as well as cooler temperatures. The disturbance will
lift north into Wednesday which will bring a better chance for
storms as moisture lingers. Convection will favor the mountains
and the primary threats from storms will be periods of heavy rain,
lightning, and gusty outflow winds to 40 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (40-50%) after noon. Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74 F.
Min humidity........19-24%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4 to 6 MPH, becoming west
                    around 1300. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to very good by noon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................2.
Mixing height.......Rising to 12200 ft AGL around 1500.
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (50-60%) after midnight.
Min temperature.....43-48 F.
Max humidity........74-79%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3 to 5 MPH.
Smoke dispersal.....Good, decreasing to poor (11000-20000 knot-ft)
                    around 2000.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1300 ft AGL by midnight.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68 F.
Min humidity........33-38%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 MPH. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12000 knot-ft), increasing to good around
                    1300.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......Rising to 9400 ft AGL around 1500.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...Brandon Duncan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714625.4/GJT
.EMAIL craiginteragency@gmail.com


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