Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 282334
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST RIM PINES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
534 PM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL BE MOVING BACK INTO SOUTHWEST COLORADO
TODAY (WEDNESDAY) WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THESE STORMS MAY SEND OUTFLOW WINDS
OVER THE BURN SITE AFTER 1700 AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO INCREASE ON THURSDAY...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR
WETTING RAINS TO THE FIRE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900
                    ...THEN NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE AFTER 1700 FROM
                    THUNDERSTORMS COLLAPSING OVER THE SAN JUAN
                    MOUNTAINS EAST OF THE BURN SITE (FORECASTER
                    CONFIDENCE IN OUTFLOW WINDS 10%)
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 25000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0800...
                    THEN FAIR...BECOMING GOOD BY 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6  MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2000 FROM
                    THUNDERSTORMS COLLAPSING OVER THE SAN JUAN
                    MOUNTAINS EAST OF THE BURN SITE.
                    FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IN OUTFLOW WINDS 20%)
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 30000 KNOT-FT) BY
                    2200.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS FROM 1000-1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 0930...
                    THEN WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 35000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000
                    ...THEN FAIR. EXCEPT EXCELLENT IN AND NEAR
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW TRAYNHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150729.WESTR.01/GJT


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