Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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945
FNUS72 KILM 171547
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Lilds...NC Froest Service
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
1047 AM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and Dry High A cooler day today will be followed by a breezy warmup Saturday
ahead of a strong cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph late in the morning,
                    becoming light and variable.
Max Mixing Hgt......2200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 14 mph, decreasing to 2 to 3 mph
                    late.
Max Vent Rate.......24264 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........2.
Max ADI.............31.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  57  59  60  60  59  56
RH..............45  39  35  35  34  36  41
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   4   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   7   5   3   2
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..24  23  20  15  10  6   3
Stability.......C   C   C   C   C   B   B
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............31  28  23  18  12  7   4
Aparnt Tmp (F)..53  57  59  60  60  59  56
Sfc pres (in)...015 015 012 012 012 012 012

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Min Mixing Hgt......300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 1 mph.
Min Vent Rate.......114 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........10.
Min ADI.............0.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   3   6   8   13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  41  39  38  37  37  36  36  36  36  36  35
RH..............61  77  84  88  88  90  92  92  92  92  94  98
CHC Pcpn (%)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   1   1
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VR MPH-FT*1000..1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Stability.......G   G   G   G   G   G   G   G   G   G   G   G
LVORI...........3   4   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   10
ADI.............1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Aparnt Tmp (F)..46  41  39  38  37  37  36  36  36  36  36  35
Sfc pres (in)...012 013 013 013 013 013 013 007 007 007 007 007

$$
Forecaster...Zouzias
Requested by...Justin Davis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718957.0/ILM
.EMAIL rachel.gross@noaa.gov



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