Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 231229
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAYNES PRAIRIE ZONE 16...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
829 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. ISOLATED LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE
BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
MORNING BUT SHOULD BE BURNING OFF VERY SOON. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED AGAIN
THURSDAY MORNING NEAR OR AT PAYNES PRAIRIE.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 1 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............72     80     84     85
RH..............65     55     46     45
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 7    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     11
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   3400   4300   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6    NW 8   NW 7   W 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-2000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............82     76     70     68     65     63
RH..............49     62     74     81     88     94
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 5    W 1    W 0    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   2700   1700   1100   700    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 10   W 10   W 7    W 3    SW 1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........40     43     37     45     45     47
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY                      S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP............62     63     74     81     84     85
RH..............99     94     65     53     48     47
20 FT WIND......S 1    S 2    SE 3   SE 6   SE 8   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
LVORI...........10     6      3      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.2      3      18     38     45     36
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      2

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...ANDREA CHRISTMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.PAYNE.01/JAX




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