Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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588
FNUS72 KJAX 240044
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR FIRE PM...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
844 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2006 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED EVENING SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A ROUGE THUNDERSTORM
WILL PUSH SLOWLY WEST AND DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH
10 PM. LINGERING OUTFLOWS FROM EVENING STORMS COULD BRING ERRATIC WIND
SHIFTS NEAR THE FIRESITE. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT
WITH CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY SHALLOW GROUND FOG NEAR
THE FIRE SITE TOWARD SUNRISE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 9 UNITS.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48  48  48  49  43  33  29  26  23  20
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............87  87  84  79  78  78  75  76  74  74
RH..............61  61  67  79  85  85  94  90  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   5   5   5   5   2   1   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5                   5
DISPERSION IDX..3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   9   9
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........21     21     22     24     45     49
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............73     76     87     94     97     95
RH..............97     94     65     49     42     43
20 FT WIND......S 0    SW 0   SW 1   S 2    SE 2   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.                     5      5      5
DISPERSION IDX..1      2      7      16     31     30
LVORI...........9      6      3      2      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     30     40

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...DREW PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160723.TAYLO.02/JAX



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