Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 202242
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Molinari Rx...CA State Parks
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
242 PM PST Mon Nov 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 PST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure aloft will dominate the
regional weather through the week. Offshore trends will produce
northeast winds across the burn site during the late evening to
morning hours, with speeds up to 15 mph over the ridges. A weak
seabreeze is expected Tuesday afternoon. The offshore winds will
produce a weak drying trend, but this will be moderated by the
proximity of the ocean. A shallow mixing height is expected in
the morning, gradually rising through late morning into the
afternoon. Winds will be light as they shift from offshore to
onshore, which is likely to occur between around 0900 hrs to 1100
hours.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75-77.
Min humidity........42-48 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 to 6 mph becoming variable
                    up to 3 mph around 1000 hrs, then becoming
                    northwest 3 to 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph in the morning until
                    0900 hrs then becoming variable 2 to 4 mph through
                    1100 hrs, then becoming northwest and increasing to
                    6 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest 8 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL rising to 1500 ft AGL by 1000 hrs, then
                    rising to 2200 ft in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming east around 5 mph by
                    late morning, then becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....51-54.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 mph in the evening
                    becoming variable 2 to 4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest to north winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to
                    northeast late in the evening.
 Ridgetop...........North winds 6 to 12 mph becoming northeast late in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East to northeast 5 to 10 mph.


$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Mike Walgren
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719045.0/LOX
.EMAIL mike.walgren@parks.ca.gov



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