Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 251835
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROASTING EAR  2...USFS - AOICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
135 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1327 CDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE OVERNIGHT...AND
WILL FOCUS STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT REQUEST...MAX 76.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                       MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4231 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2800 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............76  76  76  76  75
RH..............46  49  52  60  60
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.7   8   11  11  11
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.4   5   6   6   6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  22  25  30  33
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 33 TO 41 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                       35 TO 44 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                       OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4093 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2300 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............73  71  69  67  66  65  64  63  60  56  52  49
RH..............59  52  55  58  61  61  61  62  67  74  81  84
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   10  10  9   8   7   6   5   5   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.11  11  11  11  11  7   7   5   5   7   7   11
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   6   5   5   4   4   3   3   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.6   6   6   6   6   4   4   3   3   4   4   6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.33  37  39  41  43  44  44  44  43  40  38  35
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  60  60  60  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4915 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3300 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............47  46  45  45  46  48  50  52  53  54  55  54
RH..............85  83  79  74  66  60  54  49  45  42  40  40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   10  12  12  13  12  12  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.11  11  14  14  14  14  12  11  11  11  11  11
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   7   7   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5
EYE LVL WND GST.6   6   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.32  30  29  28  26  26  25  25  24  24  24  23
CHC OF PCPN (%).80  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...55
REQUESTED BY...COLLEEN BREEDLOVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150325.ROAST.01/LZK






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