Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 051701
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANSEN...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
101 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1240 EDT ON JULY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE
FIRE AND GRADUALLY MOVE NORTHWEST TO NORTH. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 PM WILL LIKELY BE VERY CLOSE TO THE FIRE, THEN
SHIFT NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE AREA AFTER 5 PM. A WEAK GULF SEA
BREEZE WILL APPROACH AND POSSIBLY PASS OVER THE FIRE BETWEEN 3 AND
4 PM, WITH WIND SPEEDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. WINDS WILL BE ERRATIC AND
GUSTY IN AND NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS BECOME LIGHT NORTHEAST TO EAST OVERNIGHT, THEN EAST TO
SOUTHEAST 10 MPH OR LESS ON MONDAY. SIMILAR PATTERN OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    HAZY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........51     51     78     62     62     51
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE   HAZE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............93     90     83     81     79     77
RH..............54     64     74     79     87     95
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 5    SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   5000   4000   2400   2400   700
MIXNG WIND......SE 9   SE 9   S 10   SE 10  SE 10  E 8
DISPERSION IDX..28     28     29     13     13     6
LVORI...........2      2      3      4      4      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAZY THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    HAZY THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16...INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...MOLLEDA
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE SHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150705.HANSE.01/MFL


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