Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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929
FNUS76 KMFR 180247
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Cove...USFS, Modoc NF
National Weather Service Medford OR
747 PM PDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...Dry and unstable Friday afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm conditions continue at the fire for the
next few days, with Friday humidity trending lower than Thursday...and
temperatures a few degrees warmer. Dryness and instability
Friday afternoon will also lead to a moderate probability
of active wildfires becoming plume dominated. Late this weekend the
wind flow aloft will become more southerly leading to a slight
possibility of thunderstorms over Northeast California. There
is growing confidence that in a more organized possibility of
thunderstorms on or about Tuesday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....82-87.
Min humidity........11-15 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....East 0 to 1 mph early becoming northwest 1 to 2
mph with gusts to 3 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........East 2 to 4 mph early becoming northwest 5 to
    10 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL early increasing to 9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy smoke.
Min temperature.....55-59.
Max humidity........Around 45 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northwest 1 to 2 mph early then northeast
1 to 2 mph overnight.
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest 5 to 10 mph early then northeast
4 to 8 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....80-87.
Min humidity........13-19 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northeast 0 to 1 mph early becoming
northwest 0 to 1 mph with gusts to 2 mph
in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast 4 to 8 mph early becoming
northwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL early increasing to 9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Patchy smoke. Lows near 60. Highs 80 to 87.
Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Patchy smoke. Lows near 60. Highs 80 to 87. North winds up to
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Patchy smoke. Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 80 to 87. Light winds.

.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AUGUST 25 THROUGH THURSDAY AUGUST 31...

For Oregon......Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures
                and below normal precipitation.

For Nrn Calif...Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures
                and near normal precipitation.
=
$$
Forecaster...KEENE
Requested by...Amanda Shoaf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714409.3/MFR



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