Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 021209
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
509 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0454 PDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS OFFSHORE AND CONTINUES TO
PUMP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NORTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA. THERE ARE
A FEW SHORTWAVES MOVING NORTH AS WELL, WHICH WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE INCIDENT TODAY. STORMS WILL BE
ON THE DRY SIDE THIS MORNING, THEN BECOME WETTER AS WE GET LATER
IN THE DAY. WATCH FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDER-
STORMS TODAY. STORMS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT, AND THEN MONDAY WILL
BE MORE STABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    THIS MORNING, THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150802.FROG_.01/MFR



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