Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 021615
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DREWS...LAKE VIEW FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
915 AM PDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT RIGHT OVER THE
PROJECT TODAY AND THIS WILL RESULT IN THE WARMEST AND DRIEST DAY
OF THE STRETCH. WE WILL ALSO SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POP UP
OVER THE MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON, SOME OF WHICH MAY DRIFT OUT
OVER THE PROJECT. STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED SO IF WE GET A STORM
NEAR THE PROJECT, WATCH FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. THE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT LASTS INTO THE EVENING, BUT WILL DIE OUT
OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE, INSTABILITY, AND WINDS WILL BE INCREASING
TOMORROW RESULTING IN A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, BUT IT WILL BE COOLER AND A LITTLE MORE HUMID.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH NOON, THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10,000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH NOON, THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH POSSIBLE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10,000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...LEX ROMINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.WESTD.01/MFR



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