Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 271225
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SR-9...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
825 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............62  62  62  62  62  61  58  56
WEATHER COV.........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................79  81  82  82  83  84  84  83
RH..................69  65  61  61  59  57  57  59
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   7   7   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................18  20  27  37  45  46  46  44
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............53  51  50  48  44  41  37  34  32  30  28  25
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH
TEMP................79  77  75  73  73  72  71  70  69  68  67  66
RH..................67  71  76  81  79  81  84  84  87  90  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10                  5   5   5   5
LVORI...............1   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
ADI.................42  22  22  17  9   8   5   4   4   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............22  19  18  18  19  19  20  20  21  21  22  22
WEATHER COV.........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................66  67  71  75  78  81  82  83  84  84  83  83
RH..................93  93  81  71  64  58  55  53  51  51  53  51
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5
LVORI...............6   5   3   3   2   3   3   2   2   2   1   1
ADI.................3   14  21  21  13  5   5   12  21  30  38  43
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...GOODALL
REQUESTED BY...LARRY CHURCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150527.SR9__.01/MHX


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