Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 011010
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARPSP C2...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
610 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BUILD
SLOWLY NORTH AND GENERATE A SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE AND
TRANSPORT WIND ACROSS THE BURN SITE. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
EAST AROUND MIDDAY AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES INLAND.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                   THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY.......62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
   BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 5
   TO 10 MPH AROUND MIDDAY
CHANCE OF PCPN.....40 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...5 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI..............5.

TIME (EDT)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCH
WEATHER TYPE.......RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP...............82  85  87  89  89  89  89  88  87  86  84  83
RH.................77  71  64  63  62  62  62  63  63  66  70  72
20 FT WIND DIR.....S   S   S   SE  ESE E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD.....5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST....

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY.......93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......4000-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...52 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI..............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY.......61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                   THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....30 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4400 FT AGL EARLY
                   IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...20 INCREASING TO 36 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI..............7.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...MIRANDA CUNNINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140801.ARPSP.01/MLB





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