Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 241220
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 902D...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
720 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WEST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL
CREATE A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN THE MIXING LAYER THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND WILL KEEP MOISTURE LEVELS WELL ABOVE CRITERIA LEVELS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE EACH NIGHT
ESPECIALLY NEAR AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL. ISOLATED DENSE FOG IS
POSSIBLE IN FOG PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2900 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 43.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........41     41     41     65     65
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............79     85     87     87     87
RH................79     66     61     60     61
20 FT WIND DIR....W      WSW    WSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      6      6      9      10
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    2200   2200   4200   2900
MIX HGT (M).......60     670    670    1280   880
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      7      7      10     14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      3      4      6
DISPERSION........4      19     19     30     43
LVORI.............4      2      2      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 13 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........65     53     53     53     50     50
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     81     78     77     75     73
RH................66     74     81     85     91     97
20 FT WIND DIR....SSW    SSW    SW     SW     SW     WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....10     9      6      6      5      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2900   1700   500    500    300    100
MIX HGT (M).......880    520    150    150    90     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSW    SSW    S      S      S      SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     13     8      8      6      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      4      4      3      2
DISPERSION........43     14     7      7      4      2
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      6      9
STABILITY CLASS...C      D      E      E      F      F
CWR...............50     20     20     20     20     20

.FRIDAY...

STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140724.902D_.01/MOB







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