Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS73 KPAH 301612
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HILLMAN FERRY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1012 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 CST ON JANUARY 30.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
TODAY. THIS HIGH WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS ON SATURDAY...THEN MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING
INCREASING CLOUDS SATURDAY...THEN RAIN AND SNOW ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
CARBONDALE TO OWENSBORO. SOUTH OF THAT LINE...THE RAIN MAY END AS A
PERIOD OF SNOW ON SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RETURN FOR MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 40.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2700-3500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............39  40  40  39  37
RH..............48  44  42  44  48
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   4   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   7   7   7   7
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 22.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     30     28     27     26     25
RH..............54     66     75     74     81     84
20 FT WIND......N 3    NE 2   E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   800    100    300    300    200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7    NE 7   NE 6   E 5    SE 5   SE 5
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............24        30        41        45
RH..............88        72        46        43
20 FT WIND......S 3G5     S 3G5     S 2G5     S 2G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1000      1700      1600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6       S 7       S 3       S 6
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....4         4         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150130.HILLM.01/PAH






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