Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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FNUS71 KRNK 221338
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Spot Forecast for pilot mtn state park fescue field...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
938 AM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will continue to build over the area today.
Pressure rises behind this morning`s frontal passage will bring
breezy and gusty winds this morning, then weaken through the
afternoon. Relative humidities will also lower into the 20s
through the afternoon.

By our reports, less than 0.02 of an inch of rain fell in the
past 72 hours. Last time a good wetting rain (0.25 of an inch)
occur in the area was March 14th.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL...increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 25 mph...decreasing to around 12
                    mph late.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................27...increasing to 51.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
Sky (%).........26        16        8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0
Temp............55        58        59
RH..............35        24        21
20 FT wind......N 13G25   N 11G20   N 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....3100      4500      4500
Mixing wind......N 18      N 17      N 12
LVORI...........1         1         1
ADI.............45        52        47
Haines index....4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Stonefield
Requested by...Matt Windsor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704898.0/RNK


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