Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 122220
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
420 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1603 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...AS OF 4 PM REGIONAL OBSERVATIONS SHOW EAST WINDS OF 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO 10 MPH BY 9 PM
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS FOR MINIMUM RH
VALUES...THEY`RE CURRENTLY RUNNING IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE
AND THIS WILL IMPROVE TO A MAXIMUM ABOVE 90 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. FOR
SATURDAY...EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS
NEAR 20 MPH POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO NEAR 35
PERCENT DURING THE DAY. THESE WIND SPEED WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15
TO 25 MPH RANGE DURING THE EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   3   5   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  55  52  49  47  45  43  42  40  39  38  37
RH..............33  43  48  56  60  68  73  76  79  82  82  85
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANS WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANS WIND SPD..8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  11  13  13  14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............36  35  36  42  49  55  61  65  68  69  69  68
RH..............89  96  96  79  63  53  44  38  36  35  35  37
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 2.8 2.6
TRANS WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANS WIND SPD..6   7   8   9   10  13  14  14  14  14  15  16
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........15  16  18  21  23  25  26  29  34  39  44  49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............65  61  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  50
RH..............41  48  53  59  62  66  69  74  80  86  86  89
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  12  13  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  25  25  25  30  30  30  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6
TRANS WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
TRANS WIND SPD..17  18  20  21  20  18  18  21  24  26  26  25
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52  50  46  42  37  33  31  30  28  27  25  23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49  49  50  54  60  64  69  72  74  75  75  74
RH..............93  96  93  80  64  56  45  39  35  33  32  32
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  15  15  15  14  13  12  10  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4
TRANS WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANS WIND SPD..24  23  22  21  20  17  16  16  16  15  13  10
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$

FORECASTER...DOLL
REQUESTED BY...ABILENE DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160212.SEARS.01/SJT



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