Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KSJT 262328
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Dry Creek Ranch...NRCS
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
528 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CST on February 26.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light southwest winds through about 7 PM...becoming light and variable
for the evening hours. Relative humidity values around 20% at 6 PM
will rapidly climb during the evening hours and will eventually reach
near 80% by morning. Rapid drying again during the day on Monday with
humidity values dropping to near 15% by late afternoon. Light southwest
winds increasing and gusting to over 20 mph for the afternoon hours.


.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL decreasing to under 1000 ft AGL
                    early by mid evening.
Mixing winds........South 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Temp............73     62     57     55     53     52
RH..............22     39     53     64     71     74
20 ft wind......S 8    S 5    S 3    S 6    SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.15     10     5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   1400   200    200    300    300
Mixing wind......S 16   S 7    S 5    SW 7   W 6    W 6

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL by noon.
                    Increasing to 5000 ft AGL by late afternoon
Mixing winds........light southwest 6 to 14 mph increasing to southwest 18 to
                    26 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor in the morning (1400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (72800-111000 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     31     26     12     14     16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............49     50     65     74     80     82
RH..............80     74     38     25     17     15
20 ft wind......SW 7   W 8    W 10   W 13   W 14   SW 13
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15     20     25     20
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1300   3300   5300   7300   6100
Mixing wind......SW 6   W 6    W 14   W 24   W 25   SW 18
Haines index....6      6      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/10001      6      39     111    160    98

$$
Forecaster...PMCCULLOUGH
Requested by...Stephen Zuberbueler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702945.0/SJT



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