Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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735
FNUS73 KUNR 181826
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for SQUID RX...US FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1226 PM MDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Very warm and dry conditions expected the next
couple days. Minimum relative humidity will be quite low both days,
especially on Thursday. A cold front will move through Friday
night and bring some gusty Northwest winds and cooler weather for
Saturday.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000 to 6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200 to 700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500 to 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...JJ
Requested by...Matt Karges
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717478.0/UNR
.EMAIL mkarges@fs.fed.us



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