Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 212307
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE OCT 21 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THROUGH THURSDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS MOSTLY
STATIONARY. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN PRECIPITATION FOR THE
PANHANDLE. UP TO A 1.5 INCH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. DRYING FOR
THURSDAY...WITH ONLY THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE RECEIVING LIGHT
PRECIPITATION. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER WESTERN MAINLAND ALASKA
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...BRINGING LIGHT PRECIPITATION (MAINLY
SNOW).

THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS... FREEZING LEVELS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WILL RANGE FROM THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF MAINLAND ALASKA TO
2000-6000 FT OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH
DAY... FREEZING LEVELS OVER SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ALASKA WILL RISE TO 1000-3000 FEET.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
ANXA2    ANNEX CREEK          PP RZ :  1.90
PAPG     PETERSBURG           PP RZ :  1.88
SPPA2    SNETTISHAM POWER     PP RZ :  1.80
ECBA2    EAGLECREST BASE      PP RZ :  1.48
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PC RG :  1.33
EYRA2    EYAK RIVER           PP RZ :  1.30
EYLA2    EYAK LAKE            PP RZ :  1.20
BGLA2    BERING GLACIER RAWS  PP RG :  1.19
ESIA2    ESTHER ISLAND        PC RM :  1.10
PAAP     PORT ALEXANDER       PP RZ :  1.05
JDWA2    JUNEAU DOUGLAS WWTP  PP RZ :  1.05
PAJK     JUNEAU WFO           PP RZ :  1.04
AUKA2    AUKE BAY LARC        PP RZ :  1.02
PAEL     ELFIN COVE           PP RZ :  1.00
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  0.93

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE STATE. THE EXCEPTION IS
SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND THE PANHANDLE... WHERE INCREASED CHANCES FOR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE...INCLUDING MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND THE K/Y PENINSULA.
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
AKPEN...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

KFM



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