Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 192344
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE AUG 19 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE KENAI RIVER FROM KENAI LAKE TO THE
MOUTH... AND FOR THE KASILOF RIVER AROUND TUSTAMENA LAKE... REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM AKDT THURSDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIFIC PRODUCT FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
EVENT.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HAS A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN
BERING... WITH AN EMBEDDED LOW NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS... AND A
WEAK RIDGE OVER ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY.  DIURNAL SHOWERS...
WITH ISOLATED THUNDER SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN... WILL BE THE
MAIN SOURCE OF RAIN INTO MIDWEEK.  THE EXCEPTION IS AN AREA OF RAIN
AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE THAT WILL MOVE FROM THE
SEWARD PENINSULA OVER NORTHERN ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

FREEZING LEVELS THIS MORNING WERE BETWEEN 5600 FT AND 8900 FT OVER
THE MAINLAND... RISING TO 9500 FT OVER KODIAK ISLAND.  FREEZING
LEVELS WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR
======== ====                 == ==    =====
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.76
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PC RG :  0.75
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PC RG :  0.70
PABI     DELTA JUNCTION       PP RZ :  0.67
GECA2    GEORGE CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.60
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.45
LCRA2    LITTLE CHENA RIDGE   PC R2 :  0.44
SMTA2    SALMON TROUT RAWS    PC RG :  0.42
OKLA2    OKLAHOMA RAWS        PC RG :  0.40
MDBA2    COPPER RIVER         PC RG :  0.40
BENA2    BEN CREEK            PC RG :  0.38
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME     PC R2 :  0.37
SLRA2    SALCHA RIVER RAWS    PC RG :  0.37
STNA2    STONY STRIP RAWS     PC RG :  0.35
LBKA2    LITTLE BLACK         PC RG :  0.35
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER      PC RG :  0.32
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :  0.31
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PC RG :  0.31
PAEG     EAGLE                PP RZ :  0.30
HATA2    HATCHER PASS         PC R2 :  0.30
BIRA2    BIRCH CREEK RAWS     PC RG :  0.30
FWLA2    FAREWELL FLATS RAWS  PC RG :  0.29
PAFS     NIKOLAI              PP RZ :  0.28
ALSA2    PORT ALSWORTH RAWS   PC RG :  0.28
KLAA2    KLAWASKI RAWS        PC RG :  0.28
COVA2    COVILLE RAWS         PC RG :  0.27
CHLA2    LITTLE CHENA RIVER   PC RG :  0.27
KTZA2    NOATAK RAWS          PC RG :  0.26
DCKA2    DAHL CREEK NR KOBUK  PC RG :  0.25

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE MAINLAND AND THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA... AND INCREASED CHANCES OF BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ACL



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