Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 231102
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL TODAY THROUGH
SATURDAY...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After midnight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Morning.



DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorms will move back north into southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas this morning, and this
activity will increase in areal coverage across the rest of the
area during the afternoon. Additional heavy rainfall is likely at
times today, especially southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas where a flood watch remains in effect through Saturday
afternoon.

Another round of showers and storms will develop late tonight in
association with the main upper system. One or two strong to
severe storms will be possible after midnight across far southeast
Oklahoma, and will be capable of producing large hail.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Greater chances for storms and additional heavy rainfall potential
will be during the day Saturday as the main upper system and cold
front move through the area. This will result in a slight
increase in severe potential, mainly for southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas where large hail will be the primary threat.
Rain and storms are expected to be east of the area by late
Saturday afternoon.

Settled conditions are expected for the remainder of the weekend
and into next week along with mild temperatures. Shower and
thunderstorm chances will increase some towards midweek as another
system approaches the plains.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



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