Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXAK02 KWNH 041700
PMDAK

ALASKA EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
100 PM EDT TUE AUG 04 2015

VALID 12Z SAT AUG 08 2015 - 12Z WED AUG 12 2015


A BLEND OF THE 00Z/04 ECMWF AND ECENS MEAN SHOULD AFFORD THE
ENTIRE ALASKA REGION A GOOD BALANCE OF DETAIL, STABILITY, AND
CONTINUITY. THE GFS AND GEFS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN FLAKY OF LATE, AND
AT ODDS WITH THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
ACROSS NORTH AMERICA, SO DO NOT WANT TO CREDIT ANY OF ITS SYNOPTIC
CUES. AS A WHOLE, THE PATTERN IS AN ACTIVE ONE FOR THE STATE AND
ADJACENT OCEANS--CLOSER TO AUTUMN THAN SUMMER. IT APPEARS THE
TENACIOUS BLOCKING RIDGE IS AT AN EBB. FOR NOW.


CISCO

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