Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 251225
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
824 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

VALID 00Z THU MAY 26 2016 - 00Z THU JUN 02 2016

THE 25/00Z FORECAST CYCLE YIELDED NO SURPRISES---AND FITS THE
CURRENT HAWAI`I FORECAST SCENARIO. A QUASI-STATIONARY CUTOFF
FEATURE NORTH OF STATE (ALONG 150W) SLOWLY LIFTS NORTHWARD TOWARDS
THE GULF OF ALASKA ON MONDAY (DAYS 5-6) AND SPREADS A WEAKENING
SURFACE BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE ISLANDS.

USING A BLEND OF THE 25/00Z ECENS/NAEFS WITH SOME DETAILS OF THE
DETERMINISTIC ECMWF BEYOND 31/00Z SHOULD YIELD GOOD RESULTS AND
HANDLE THE MEDIUM RANGE PORTION OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

VOJTESAK

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