River Forecast
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000
FGUS53 KKRF 302346
RVFUMO

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
2344Z Sun Apr 30 2017
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS UPRMO

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

: *****************************************************************
: ***  This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to         ***
: ***  forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for the next 15 days ***
: *****************************************************************


:*******************************************************************
: *** Please note ... Crest forecasts provided are based on      ***
: *** 15 days of forecast temperatures and should not be assumed ***
: *** to be the absolute crests for the snowmelt season.         ***
: ******************************************************************


: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 120 hours of QPF <==


RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
BIG HOLE RIVER
  MELROSE MT              6.0    2.8   CREST NEAR 5.6 FT 05/08 AM
JEFFERSON RIVER
  THREE FORKS MT 3NW      8.0    4.2   WITHIN BANK RISE

:__________________________________________________________________

:MELROSE MT - BIG HOLE RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 5.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.8 FT AT 2315Z ON 0430

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0430   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.8

.AR : CREST : MLRM8 20170508 Z DC201704302344/DH12/HGIFFX 5.6
.ER MLRM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/   2.9 /   2.9 /   3.0 /   3.1
.E2  :0502:/   3.2 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.4
.E3  :0503:/   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.6
.E4  :0504:/   3.6 /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.8
.E5  :0505:/   3.9 /   4.1 /   4.3 /   4.5
.E6  :0506:/   4.7 /   5.0 /   5.1 /   5.2
.E7  :0507:/   5.3 /   5.4 /   5.5 /   5.5
.E8  :0508:/   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.6
.E9  :0509:/   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.5 /   5.5
.E10 :0510:/   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0430  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 30:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0501  /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0502  /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.03 /  0.02
:    0503  /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0504  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0505  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 05:   0.12  inches


:MELROSE MT - BIG HOLE RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 1.44 KCFS AT 1800Z ON 0430

.ER MLRM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/ 1.472 / 1.521 / 1.614 / 1.723
.E2  :0502:/ 1.859 / 1.994 / 2.098 / 2.180
.E3  :0503:/ 2.258 / 2.323 / 2.389 / 2.480
.E4  :0504:/ 2.542 / 2.637 / 2.782 / 2.924
.E5  :0505:/ 3.170 / 3.544 / 3.899 / 4.229
.E6  :0506:/ 4.642 /  5.09 /  5.40 /  5.61
.E7  :0507:/  5.88 /  6.09 /  6.21 /  6.28
.E8  :0508:/  6.37 /  6.44 /  6.45 /  6.42
.E9  :0509:/  6.39 /  6.37 /  6.32 /  6.23
.E10 :0510:/  6.18 /  6.16 /  6.14 /  6.12
:__________________________________________________________________

:THREE FORKS MT 3NW - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 7.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.2 FT AT 2300Z ON 0430

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0430   /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2

.ER TFKM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E2  :0502:/   4.0 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   4.0
.E3  :0503:/   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.2 /   4.3
.E4  :0504:/   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.4 /   4.4
.E5  :0505:/   4.4 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.6
.E6  :0506:/   4.7 /   4.8 /   5.0 /   5.2
.E7  :0507:/   5.4 /   5.5 /   5.7 /   5.9
.E8  :0508:/   6.0 /   6.1 /   6.1 /   6.2
.E9  :0509:/   6.2 /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3
.E10 :0510:/   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0430  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 30:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0501  /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0502  /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.01
:    0503  /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0504  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0505  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 05:   0.12  inches


:THREE FORKS MT 3NW - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 2.22 KCFS AT 1800Z ON 0430

.ER TFKM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/ 2.191 / 2.155 / 2.095 / 2.037
.E2  :0502:/ 1.983 / 1.961 / 1.964 / 2.002
.E3  :0503:/ 2.070 / 2.155 / 2.248 / 2.335
.E4  :0504:/ 2.412 / 2.468 / 2.514 / 2.558
.E5  :0505:/ 2.609 / 2.652 / 2.729 / 2.836
.E6  :0506:/ 2.986 / 3.230 / 3.518 / 3.839
.E7  :0507:/ 4.178 / 4.572 / 4.969 /  5.32
.E8  :0508:/  5.63 /  5.85 /  5.98 /  6.07
.E9  :0509:/  6.20 /  6.30 /  6.40 /  6.48
.E10 :0510:/  6.51 /  6.53 /  6.51 /  6.47
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOSTON MT 2SE - MISSOURI RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 10.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.5 FT AT 2300Z ON 0430

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0430   /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5

.ER TOSM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5
.E2  :0502:/   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.4
.E3  :0503:/   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.5 /   5.5
.E4  :0504:/   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.6 /   5.6
.E5  :0505:/   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.6
.E6  :0506:/   5.7 /   5.7 /   5.8 /   5.9
.E7  :0507:/   6.0 /   6.1 /   6.3 /   6.4
.E8  :0508:/   6.5 /   6.6 /   6.7 /   6.7
.E9  :0509:/   6.7 /   6.8 /   6.8 /   6.8
.E10 :0510:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0430  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 30:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0501  /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0502  /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.05 /  0.02
:    0503  /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0504  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0505  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 05:   0.15  inches


:TOSTON MT 2SE - MISSOURI RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 6.43 KCFS AT 1800Z ON 0430

.ER TOSM8 20170501 Z DC201704302344/DH00/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0501:/  6.44 /  6.46 /  6.44 /  6.38
.E2  :0502:/  6.28 /  6.20 /  6.16 /  6.15
.E3  :0503:/  6.16 /  6.20 /  6.25 /  6.32
.E4  :0504:/  6.38 /  6.45 /  6.49 /  6.52
.E5  :0505:/  6.55 /  6.59 /  6.63 /  6.70
.E6  :0506:/  6.78 /  6.92 /  7.14 /  7.40
.E7  :0507:/  7.69 /  8.01 /  8.36 /  8.72
.E8  :0508:/  9.05 /  9.35 /  9.57 /  9.72
.E9  :0509:/  9.82 /  9.92 / 10.00 / 10.09
.E10 :0510:/ 10.15 / 10.18 / 10.19 / 10.16

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TFX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Great Falls, Montana
:BYZ -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Billings, Montana
:GGW -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Glasgow, Montana
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: ajm
:...END of MESSAGE...



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