Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 290740
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-NMZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/29/14 0739Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0730Z  GOES-15 0711Z        WARREN
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LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...UPDATE TO PREVIOUS SPENES CONCERNING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0730-1130Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...RECENT SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS ARE SHOWING
A GRADUAL UPTICK IN SHOWER/TSTMS ACTIVITY ACROSS SE/E-CENTRAL
NM  WITH MOST ACTIVE CELLS FOCUSING OVER LINCOLN/CHAVES COUNTIES.
AS ANTICIPATED CELLS HAVE BEEN SLOW-MOVING WITH UPSTREAM REDEVELOPMENT
ENHANCING LOCALIZED TRAINING/CELL MERGERS.  OVERALL COVERAGE HAS BEEN
A BIT UNDERWHELMING SO FAR...HOWEVER THIS COULD IMPROVE SOMEWHAT OVER
THE NEXT FEW HRS WITH MID-LVL SHORTWAVE IMPULSE LIFTING ENE ACROSS NM
COUPLED WITH SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AS MID-LVL
CONVERGENCE HAS INCREASED UPSTREAM OVER SE AZ/SW NM/NRN OLD MEXICO.
ERLY LLJ CONTINUES TO PROVIDE AMPLE LLVL CONVERGENCE...PARTICULARLY
ALONG FAVORED ERN SLOPES ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM SRR TO JUST S OF LVS.
WHILE BLENDED TPW AND GPS NETWORK DATA BOTH INDICATE A SLIGHT DECLINE IN
MOISTURE...AROUND 1.3-1.4"...STRONG LLVL CONVERGENCE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE RAIN RATES IN EXCESS OF 1.0"/HR.  GREATEST AREA OF CONCERN OVER
THE NEXT FEW HRS WOULD BE NEAR SRR TO ROW...AT NOSE OF LLJ...WHERE COLD
CLOUD TOP CELLS MAY CONTINUE TO REGENERATE/TRAIN OVER THE NEXT 1-3 HRS.
AS SHORTWAVE SHIFT EWD...LLJ SHOULD BEGIN TO VEER ALLOWING SHOWERS/TSTMS
TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD...CLOSER TO NM/TX BORDER.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3552 10299 3434 10235 3333 10369 3275 10503 3319 10616
3452 10594 3551 10452
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